Wave modeling uncertainty in global wave climate projections: assessment and quantification

Hector Lobeto, Alvaro Semedo, Melisa Menendez, Gil Lemos, Rajesh Kumar, Adem Akpinar, Mikhail Dobrynin, Bahareh Kamranzad

Research output: Contribution to conferencePosterpeer-review

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Abstract

Ocean wind waves are projected to changeover the twenty-first century under a warming climate. The standard approach to conduct these studies is based on wave climate projections. These products represent future wave climates, for different scenarios, developed using forcing drivers from global climate models (GCMs) or regional climate models (RCMs). Projected changes in wave climate are affected by multiple sources of uncertainty (see Figure): aleatoric uncertainty, socio-economic scenario uncertainty, uncertainty related to GCMs and the epistemic uncertainty associated with the wave modeling.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages1
Publication statusPublished - 1 Oct 2023
Event3rd International Workshop on Waves, Storm Surges, and Coastal Hazards - , United States
Duration: 1 Oct 2023 → …
http://www.waveworkshop.org/17thWaves/index.htm

Conference

Conference3rd International Workshop on Waves, Storm Surges, and Coastal Hazards
Country/TerritoryUnited States
Period1/10/23 → …
Internet address

Keywords

  • wave modeling
  • climate projections
  • global climate change

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