Valence politics and economic crisis: electoral choice in Canada 2008

Harold D. Clarke, Thomas J. Scotto, Allan Kornberg

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper investigates factors affecting voting behavior in Canada's October 2008 federal election. The election was held in the context of a rapidly worsening financial crisis that threatened to become a global economic meltdown. National survey data gathered in the 2008 Political Support in Canada Study reveal that the deteriorating economy trumped the opposition Liberal Party's Green Shift Program as the major campaign issue by a huge margin. Damage done to the governing Conservatives by the economic crisis was limited by perceptions of their leader, Prime Minister Stephen Harper. Analyses of a mixed logit model of electoral choice shows that although the Conservatives had a relatively small share of party identifiers and Harper was widely disliked, his image as "safe pair on hands" helped his party weather the political storm generated by the flood of bad economic news. © 2010 Elsevier Ltd.
LanguageEnglish
Pages438-449
Number of pages12
JournalElectoral Studies
Volume30
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sep 2011
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

economic crisis
election
Canada
liberal party
political support
politics
voting behavior
financial crisis
minister
economics
damages
opposition
news
campaign
leader
economy

Keywords

  • economic crisis
  • voting behaviour
  • party politics

Cite this

Clarke, Harold D. ; Scotto, Thomas J. ; Kornberg, Allan. / Valence politics and economic crisis : electoral choice in Canada 2008. In: Electoral Studies. 2011 ; Vol. 30, No. 3. pp. 438-449.
@article{27772364d4944724b29a8569e652591e,
title = "Valence politics and economic crisis: electoral choice in Canada 2008",
abstract = "This paper investigates factors affecting voting behavior in Canada's October 2008 federal election. The election was held in the context of a rapidly worsening financial crisis that threatened to become a global economic meltdown. National survey data gathered in the 2008 Political Support in Canada Study reveal that the deteriorating economy trumped the opposition Liberal Party's Green Shift Program as the major campaign issue by a huge margin. Damage done to the governing Conservatives by the economic crisis was limited by perceptions of their leader, Prime Minister Stephen Harper. Analyses of a mixed logit model of electoral choice shows that although the Conservatives had a relatively small share of party identifiers and Harper was widely disliked, his image as {"}safe pair on hands{"} helped his party weather the political storm generated by the flood of bad economic news. {\circledC} 2010 Elsevier Ltd.",
keywords = "economic crisis, voting behaviour, party politics",
author = "Clarke, {Harold D.} and Scotto, {Thomas J.} and Allan Kornberg",
year = "2011",
month = "9",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1016/j.electstud.2010.11.006",
language = "English",
volume = "30",
pages = "438--449",
journal = "Electoral Studies",
issn = "0261-3794",
number = "3",

}

Valence politics and economic crisis : electoral choice in Canada 2008. / Clarke, Harold D.; Scotto, Thomas J.; Kornberg, Allan.

In: Electoral Studies, Vol. 30, No. 3, 01.09.2011, p. 438-449.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

TY - JOUR

T1 - Valence politics and economic crisis

T2 - Electoral Studies

AU - Clarke, Harold D.

AU - Scotto, Thomas J.

AU - Kornberg, Allan

PY - 2011/9/1

Y1 - 2011/9/1

N2 - This paper investigates factors affecting voting behavior in Canada's October 2008 federal election. The election was held in the context of a rapidly worsening financial crisis that threatened to become a global economic meltdown. National survey data gathered in the 2008 Political Support in Canada Study reveal that the deteriorating economy trumped the opposition Liberal Party's Green Shift Program as the major campaign issue by a huge margin. Damage done to the governing Conservatives by the economic crisis was limited by perceptions of their leader, Prime Minister Stephen Harper. Analyses of a mixed logit model of electoral choice shows that although the Conservatives had a relatively small share of party identifiers and Harper was widely disliked, his image as "safe pair on hands" helped his party weather the political storm generated by the flood of bad economic news. © 2010 Elsevier Ltd.

AB - This paper investigates factors affecting voting behavior in Canada's October 2008 federal election. The election was held in the context of a rapidly worsening financial crisis that threatened to become a global economic meltdown. National survey data gathered in the 2008 Political Support in Canada Study reveal that the deteriorating economy trumped the opposition Liberal Party's Green Shift Program as the major campaign issue by a huge margin. Damage done to the governing Conservatives by the economic crisis was limited by perceptions of their leader, Prime Minister Stephen Harper. Analyses of a mixed logit model of electoral choice shows that although the Conservatives had a relatively small share of party identifiers and Harper was widely disliked, his image as "safe pair on hands" helped his party weather the political storm generated by the flood of bad economic news. © 2010 Elsevier Ltd.

KW - economic crisis

KW - voting behaviour

KW - party politics

UR - https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-80052022537&partnerID=40&md5=f6e90a73347c0c7d425fddd22d553421

U2 - 10.1016/j.electstud.2010.11.006

DO - 10.1016/j.electstud.2010.11.006

M3 - Article

VL - 30

SP - 438

EP - 449

JO - Electoral Studies

JF - Electoral Studies

SN - 0261-3794

IS - 3

ER -