US efficient factors in a Bayesian model scan framework

Michael O'Connell*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Purpose: The author examines the impact these efficient factors have on factor model comparison tests in US returns using the Bayesian model scan approach of Chib et al. (2020), and Chib et al.(2022). Design/methodology/approach: Ehsani and Linnainmaa (2022) show that time-series efficient investment factors in US stock returns span and earn 40% higher Sharpe ratios than the original factors. Findings: The author shows that the optimal asset pricing model is an eight-factor model which contains efficient versions of the market factor, value factor (HML) and long-horizon behavioral factor (FIN). The findings show that efficient factors enhance the performance of US factor model performance. The top performing asset pricing model does not change in recent data. Originality/value: The author is the only one to examine if the efficient factors developed by Ehsani and Linnainmaa (2022) have an impact on model comparison tests in US stock returns.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1077-1092
Number of pages16
JournalJournal of Economic Studies
Volume51
Issue number5
Early online date15 Jan 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 9 Jul 2024

Keywords

  • Bayesian analysis
  • Factor models
  • Model scan

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