Trigger-happy? Military regimes and the timing of conflict

Randolph M. Siverson, Richard A.I. Johnson

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)
103 Downloads (Pure)


The proclivity of military regimes and their leaders for more frequent involvement in international conflict than other autocracies has been shown in several studies. The question raised here is not whether they participate in more conflicts and disputes, but rather whether after the leaders of military regimes enter office they initiate these acts more quickly than the leaders of other types of autocracies. Drawing on three authoritarian regime typologies and examining the time to the initiation of any dispute and the initiation of violent disputes, our results show that in comparison to other authoritarian leaders a subset of military leaders is distinctly trigger-happy.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)544-558
Number of pages15
JournalConflict Management and Peace Science
Issue number5
Early online date17 Nov 2016
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sept 2018


  • militarized interstate disputes
  • military leaders
  • international conflict
  • international relations
  • survival models
  • military regimes


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