Transport-energy modelling in sub-Saharan Africa: innovations and opportunities to support informed policymaking towards equitable, clean access for all

David Sturgess*, Winnie Mitullah, Malindi Msoni, Joyce Chivunga, Emmanuel Dzisi, Helen Morrissey, Festival Boateng, Alphonse Nkurunziza, Doris Agbevivi, Wilfred Kadewa, Elena Pierard, Juan Pablo Orjuela Mendoza, Will Usher, Holger Dalkmann, James Dixon

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Book/ReportOther report

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Abstract

An effective transport system provides equitable, clean access to goods and services. Transitions towards this shared goal entail co-evolution between industry, technology, markets, policy, culture and civil society. System models and analytical tools provide a useful quantitative backdrop in building policy, project and investment pipelines towards realising this goal.


Due to the unique challenges shared by the majority of sub-Saharan African (SSA) states, including their heavy dependence on imported second-hand vehicle markets, the dominance of popular transport for serving passenger travel demand and chronic data availability constraints, the application of High-Income Country
(HIC)-based transport-energy models to SSA contexts tend to offer only vague approximations to local dynamics. Innovative approaches are needed to develop models to support informed decision-making given these challenges.


In this policy brief, we:


1. Set out the challenges faced by SSA countries in developing fit-for-purpose system models and analytical tools to support decision makers towards equitable, clean access for all;

2. Detail innovations to meet these requirements, given the unique and persisting challenges, and identify opportunities present to enable these innovations; and


3. Set out a framework for the development of SSA context-appropriate system models and analytical tools to support transport-energy transitions towards equitable, clean access.
Original languageEnglish
PublisherZenodo
Number of pages12
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 14 Nov 2024

Keywords

  • energy system models
  • sub-Saharan Africa
  • transport system

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