Tidal energy yield uncertainties: learnings from the wind energy industry

Alistair Borthwick, Robert Clayton, Roisin Fahey, Alan Mortimer, Helen Smith, Qing Xiao

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperpeer-review


As the tidal industry moves towards array development, approaches are required to evaluate uncertainty and minimise risk. This is a topic that has been addressed in detail by the wind energy industry and experience has shown that resource assessment is complex and subject to inherent uncertainty. Historically, wind farm performance has been overestimated, adversely affecting investment and impacting sector growth. Present wind resource assessment methods allowthe uncertainty in project return estimates to be determined. This paper proposes a transfer of existing experience and knowledge of uncertainty estimation from established processes within the wind industry to the nascent tidal industry, based on similarities in annual energy yield calculations. Results show there are significant analogies between the processes of wind andtidal yield assessments. There is significant overlap within resource modelling, power performance assessment and wake effect analysis. Knowledge and processes can be modified from wind techniques to better evaluate the tidal resource and estimate the yield output.
Original languageEnglish
Publication statusPublished - 27 Aug 2017
Event12th European Wave and Tidal Energy Conference - University College Cork , Cork, Ireland
Duration: 27 Aug 20171 Sep 2017
Conference number: 12


Conference12th European Wave and Tidal Energy Conference
Abbreviated titleEWTEC17
Internet address


  • tidal energy
  • wind energy
  • hydrodynamic forces


Dive into the research topics of 'Tidal energy yield uncertainties: learnings from the wind energy industry'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this