The Scottish economy [September 1991]

Fraser of Allander Institute

The Scottish economy [September 1991]

Fraser of Allander Institute

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Abstract

This issue of the Commentary contains the first set of output projections from the Institute's new short-term model of the Scottish economy. The model forecasts
quarterly movements in the seasonally-adjusted Scottish output index for production industries (Divisions 1-4 of the 1980 SIC). Note that this excludes construction but
includes SIC Class 13 (oil and gas). It is intended that subsequent Commentaries will also include quarterly forecasts of employment and unemployment. Details of
the model are contained in the Briefing Paper in this issue. This article shows movements in the actual output index and in the index as predicted by the model, and also shows forecasts for the period 1991 Ql to 1992 Q4. Further details of the actual and projected indices are also demonstrated.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	10-51
Number of pages	42
Journal	Quarterly Economic Commentary
Volume	17
Issue number	1
Publication status	Published - 1991

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth

Keywords

Scottish industrial performance
economic forecasts
Scottish economic performance
economic indicators
Scottish business conditions
labour market conditions
unemployment
Scottish regional economic trends

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FEC_17_1_1991_Scottish_EconomyFinal published version, 2.8 MB

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title = "The Scottish economy [September 1991]",

abstract = "This issue of the Commentary contains the first set of output projections from the Institute's new short-term model of the Scottish economy. The model forecasts quarterly movements in the seasonally-adjusted Scottish output index for production industries (Divisions 1-4 of the 1980 SIC). Note that this excludes construction but includes SIC Class 13 (oil and gas). It is intended that subsequent Commentaries will also include quarterly forecasts of employment and unemployment. Details of the model are contained in the Briefing Paper in this issue. This article shows movements in the actual output index and in the index as predicted by the model, and also shows forecasts for the period 1991 Ql to 1992 Q4. Further details of the actual and projected indices are also demonstrated.",

keywords = "Scottish industrial performance, economic forecasts, Scottish economic performance, economic indicators, Scottish business conditions, labour market conditions, unemployment, Scottish regional economic trends",

author = "James Love and Brian Ashcroft and Neil Dourmashkin and Paul Draper and Stewart Dunlop and Eleanor Malloy and Claire Monaghan and Peter McGregor and Iain McNicoll and Eric McRory and Roger Perman and Kim Swales and Yin, \{Ya Ping\} and James Love and \{Fraser of Allander Institute\}",

year = "1991",

language = "English",

volume = "17",

pages = "10--51",

journal = "Quarterly Economic Commentary",

issn = "0306-7866",

publisher = "University of Strathclyde",

number = "1",

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TY - JOUR

T1 - The Scottish economy [September 1991]

AU - Love, James

AU - Ashcroft, Brian

AU - Dourmashkin, Neil

AU - Draper, Paul

AU - Dunlop, Stewart

AU - Malloy, Eleanor

AU - Monaghan, Claire

AU - McGregor, Peter

AU - McNicoll, Iain

AU - McRory, Eric

AU - Perman, Roger

AU - Swales, Kim

AU - Yin, Ya Ping

AU - Fraser of Allander Institute

A2 - Love, James

PY - 1991

Y1 - 1991

N2 - This issue of the Commentary contains the first set of output projections from the Institute's new short-term model of the Scottish economy. The model forecasts quarterly movements in the seasonally-adjusted Scottish output index for production industries (Divisions 1-4 of the 1980 SIC). Note that this excludes construction but includes SIC Class 13 (oil and gas). It is intended that subsequent Commentaries will also include quarterly forecasts of employment and unemployment. Details of the model are contained in the Briefing Paper in this issue. This article shows movements in the actual output index and in the index as predicted by the model, and also shows forecasts for the period 1991 Ql to 1992 Q4. Further details of the actual and projected indices are also demonstrated.

AB - This issue of the Commentary contains the first set of output projections from the Institute's new short-term model of the Scottish economy. The model forecasts quarterly movements in the seasonally-adjusted Scottish output index for production industries (Divisions 1-4 of the 1980 SIC). Note that this excludes construction but includes SIC Class 13 (oil and gas). It is intended that subsequent Commentaries will also include quarterly forecasts of employment and unemployment. Details of the model are contained in the Briefing Paper in this issue. This article shows movements in the actual output index and in the index as predicted by the model, and also shows forecasts for the period 1991 Ql to 1992 Q4. Further details of the actual and projected indices are also demonstrated.

KW - Scottish industrial performance

KW - economic forecasts

KW - Scottish economic performance

KW - economic indicators

KW - Scottish business conditions

KW - labour market conditions

KW - unemployment

KW - Scottish regional economic trends

UR - http://www.strath.ac.uk/frasercommentary/

UR - http://www.strath.ac.uk/fraser/

M3 - Article

SN - 0306-7866

VL - 17

SP - 10

EP - 51

JO - Quarterly Economic Commentary

JF - Quarterly Economic Commentary

IS - 1

ER -

The Scottish economy [September 1991]

Abstract

UN SDGs

Keywords

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