The Scottish economy [September 1991]

James Love, Brian Ashcroft, Neil Dourmashkin, Paul Draper, Stewart Dunlop, Eleanor Malloy, Claire Monaghan, Peter McGregor, Iain McNicoll, Eric McRory, Roger Perman, Kim Swales, Ya Ping Yin, James Love (Editor), Fraser of Allander Institute

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

This issue of the Commentary contains the first set of output projections from the Institute's new short-term model of the Scottish economy. The model forecasts
quarterly movements in the seasonally-adjusted Scottish output index for production industries (Divisions 1-4 of the 1980 SIC). Note that this excludes construction but
includes SIC Class 13 (oil and gas). It is intended that subsequent Commentaries will also include quarterly forecasts of employment and unemployment. Details of
the model are contained in the Briefing Paper in this issue. This article shows movements in the actual output index and in the index as predicted by the model, and also shows forecasts for the period 1991 Ql to 1992 Q4. Further details of the actual and projected indices are also demonstrated.
LanguageEnglish
Pages10-51
Number of pages42
JournalQuarterly Economic Commentary
Volume17
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 1991

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Oil
Unemployment
Gas
Industry

Keywords

  • Scottish industrial performance
  • economic forecasts
  • Scottish economic performance
  • economic indicators
  • Scottish business conditions
  • labour market conditions
  • unemployment
  • Scottish regional economic trends

Cite this

Fraser of Allander Institute (1991). The Scottish economy [September 1991]. Quarterly Economic Commentary, 17(1), 10-51.
Fraser of Allander Institute. / The Scottish economy [September 1991]. In: Quarterly Economic Commentary. 1991 ; Vol. 17, No. 1. pp. 10-51.
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author = "James Love and Brian Ashcroft and Neil Dourmashkin and Paul Draper and Stewart Dunlop and Eleanor Malloy and Claire Monaghan and Peter McGregor and Iain McNicoll and Eric McRory and Roger Perman and Kim Swales and Yin, {Ya Ping} and James Love and {Fraser of Allander Institute}",
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Fraser of Allander Institute 1991, 'The Scottish economy [September 1991]' Quarterly Economic Commentary, vol. 17, no. 1, pp. 10-51.

The Scottish economy [September 1991]. / Fraser of Allander Institute.

In: Quarterly Economic Commentary, Vol. 17, No. 1, 1991, p. 10-51.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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Fraser of Allander Institute. The Scottish economy [September 1991]. Quarterly Economic Commentary. 1991;17(1):10-51.