Abstract
Scottish GDP in real terms increased in 1974, and our central estimate for this increase is £4106m at constant prices; this represents an increase of 0.8% over 1973. Modest though this is, in a year in which UK GDP as a whole actually declined it can be regarded with some satisfaction. Indeed our qualitative judgement is that the statistical forecast is, if anything on the conservative side, though as yet our
forecasting methods are insufficiently developed to include these additional
indicators of activity levels. Trends in GDP during the first quarter of 1975 are more difficult to predict.
forecasting methods are insufficiently developed to include these additional
indicators of activity levels. Trends in GDP during the first quarter of 1975 are more difficult to predict.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 14-28 |
Number of pages | 15 |
Journal | Quarterly Economic Commentary |
Volume | 1 |
Issue number | 1 |
Publication status | Published - Jul 1975 |
Keywords
- Scottish economic trends
- Scottish GDP
- Scottish industrial performance
- Scottish business conditions
- unemployment
- labour market trends