The Scottish economy [April 1980]

David N.F. Bell, Gary Emmett, Neil Fraser, Douglas Hamilton, Anne Jowett, James W. McGilvray, Frank X. Kirwan, Lyle Moar, Ian Orton, David R. F. Simpson, A. A. Wingfield, David N.F. Bell (Editor)

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    With GDP in the UK likely to fall by between 1% and 3% during 1980, it would be
    unrealistic to expect a substantially different performance in Scotland. Output will fall, and this fall is likely to be concentrated, once more, in the manufacturing sector. At present, three main problems confront manufacturers. Firstly, the strength of sterling is limiting the ability of exporters to compete in international markets and of producers for the domestic market to resist cheap imports in home markets. Other things being equal, one might expect sterling's value to decline gradually during 1980, because of the UK's appreciably higher rate of inflation than its competitors. However, other things are unlikely to be equal. If political tension builds up in the Persian Gulf area, as seems likely, then currencies of those countries which are self-sufficient in energy will inevitably harden.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)6-30
    Number of pages25
    JournalQuarterly Economic Commentary
    Issue number4
    Publication statusPublished - Apr 1980


    • Scottish economic performance
    • Scotland
    • UK economy
    • recession
    • labour market trends
    • employment patterns
    • industrial performance
    • business confidence
    • Scottish gross domestic product (GDP)


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