The known unknowns of governance

Rodolphe Desbordes, Gary Koop

Research output: Working paper

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Abstract

Empirical researchers interested in how governance shapes various aspects of economic development frequently use the Worldwide Governance indicators (WGI). These variables come in the form of an estimate along with a standard error reflecting the uncertainty of this estimate. Existing empirical work simply uses the estimates as an explanatory variable and discards the information provided by the standard errors. In this paper, we argue that the appropriate practice should be to take into account the uncertainty around the WGI estimates through the use of multiple imputation. We investigate the importance of our proposed approach by revisiting in three applications the results of recently published studies. These applications cover the impact of governance on (i) capital flows; (ii) international trade; (iii) income levels around the world. We generally find that the estimated effects of governance are highly sensitive to the use of multiple imputation. We also show that model misspecification is a concern for the results of our reference studies. We conclude that the effects of governance are hard to establish once we take into account uncertainty around both the WGI estimates and the correct model specification.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages34
VolumeSIRE-DP-2014-029
Publication statusPublished - 22 Jul 2014

Publication series

NameSIRE Discussion paper
PublisherSIRE

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Governance
Uncertainty
Standard error
Multiple imputation
Model misspecification
Capital flows
Income level
Model specification
Economic development
Discards
International trade

Keywords

  • governance
  • multiple imputation
  • worldwide governance indicators

Cite this

Desbordes, R., & Koop, G. (2014). The known unknowns of governance. (SIRE Discussion paper).
Desbordes, Rodolphe ; Koop, Gary. / The known unknowns of governance. 2014. (SIRE Discussion paper).
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Desbordes, R & Koop, G 2014 'The known unknowns of governance' SIRE Discussion paper.

The known unknowns of governance. / Desbordes, Rodolphe; Koop, Gary.

2014. (SIRE Discussion paper).

Research output: Working paper

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Desbordes R, Koop G. The known unknowns of governance. 2014 Jul 22. (SIRE Discussion paper).