The impact of scenario planning on entrepreneurial orientation

Arafet Bouhalleb, Efstathios Tapinos

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)
2 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

It is well established in the foresight literature that strategy tools, such as scenario planning, have multiple reported outcomes. Much of the existing research focuses on direct outcomes, such as identifying uncertainties and developing strategies. While indirect outcomes, such as improving organisational learning and culture, are acknowledged, the existing literature provides limited empirical evidence. This paper focuses on an indirect outcome of scenario planning that has largely been ignored: entrepreneurial orientation. This research investigates whether the use of scenario planning affects key dimensions of entrepreneurial orientation among organisations that engage with it. Our model is tested through a series of hypotheses, taking advantage of a unique dataset of 133 companies from the health sector in France. This study uses a partial least squares (PLS) analysis; the findings show that scenario planning promotes risk-taking and proactive behaviour, but does not affect the innovativeness of organisations that use it. Based on these findings, we theorise about the impact of scenario planning on the entrepreneurial behaviour of organisations and discuss the practical implications of this research.
Original languageEnglish
Article number122191
Number of pages34
JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
Volume187
Early online date26 Nov 2022
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 28 Feb 2023

Keywords

  • scenario planning
  • entrepreneurial orientation
  • proactiveness
  • risk-taking behaviour
  • innovativeness

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