The Impact of Population Ageing on Public Debt: a Panel Analysis for Eighteen European Countries

Nicolas Afflatet

Research output: Working paperDiscussion paper

40 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Population ageing is one of the major long-term challenges industrialized countries face. Forecasts predict that public debt is going to rise sharply for most countries due to population ageing. However, until now there has been little research on how population ageing already affects public debt. Based on a panel data analysis for 18 European countries it is shown that there is only little empirical evidence for an impact until 2015. This does certainly not mean that it will not have an effect on public debt in the future. Governments are well-advised to benefit from the breathing space the still moderate total dependency ratio offers to adapt their social security systems.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationGlasgow
PublisherUniversity of Strathclyde
Number of pages23
Publication statusPublished - 15 Dec 2016

Publication series

NameStrathclyde Discussion Papers in Economics
PublisherUniversity of Strathclyde
Volume16-15

Keywords

  • population ageing
  • public debt
  • social security systems
  • demographic dividend

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'The Impact of Population Ageing on Public Debt: a Panel Analysis for Eighteen European Countries'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this