The application of a mathematical model to evaluate the effectiveness of control strategies against Ciona intestinalis in mussel production

Thitiwan Patanasatienkul, Javier Sanchez, Jeff Davidson, Crawford W. Revie

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

The Prince Edward Island (PEI) mussel industry has faced challenges associated with invasive tunicate species over the past two decades. Field experiments to find suitable mitigation strategies require considerable time and are resource intensive. This study demonstrates the application of a mathematical model to assess several control strategies against Ciona intestinalis populations under different temperature conditions in a mussel production area in PEI. A temperature dependent compartmental model was used to model the total abundance of C. intestinalis. Each mitigation strategy was defined in terms of a combination of timing and frequency of treatments. Various strategies were explored to obtain the combination that maximized the difference in predicted abundances between the control (untreated) and the different mitigation strategies. Treatment frequency was allowed to vary between one and four times over a given production year. The model was assessed under baseline conditions, which mimicked water temperatures from Georgetown Harbor, PEI, in 2008; as well as under scenarios that reflected prolonged summer or warm spring temperatures. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the model to variations in presumed treatment efficacy was evaluated. The use of all four available treatments, starting around the first week of July and correctly timed thereafter, provided the most effective strategy, assuming the baseline temperature scenario. However, the effectiveness of this mitigation strategy depended on temperature conditions. The mathematical model developed in this study allows decision makers to explore different strategies to control the abundance of C. intestinalis in mussel production areas under different environmental conditions. In addition, the modeling framework developed could be adapted to simulate comparable ectoparasitic infestation in aquatic environments.
LanguageEnglish
Article number271
Number of pages10
JournalFrontiers in Veterinary Science
Volume6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 20 Aug 2019

Fingerprint

Ciona intestinalis
Bivalvia
mussels
Control Strategy
Prince Edward Island
Theoretical Models
mathematical models
Mathematical Model
Mathematical models
Temperature
Evaluate
mitigation
temperature
Ectoparasitic Infestations
Geothermal springs
Baseline
Hot Springs
Tunicata
baseline conditions
Introduced Species

Keywords

  • mathematical mode
  • Ciona intestinalis
  • tunicates
  • treatment effectiveness
  • optimization
  • mussel

Cite this

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abstract = "The Prince Edward Island (PEI) mussel industry has faced challenges associated with invasive tunicate species over the past two decades. Field experiments to find suitable mitigation strategies require considerable time and are resource intensive. This study demonstrates the application of a mathematical model to assess several control strategies against Ciona intestinalis populations under different temperature conditions in a mussel production area in PEI. A temperature dependent compartmental model was used to model the total abundance of C. intestinalis. Each mitigation strategy was defined in terms of a combination of timing and frequency of treatments. Various strategies were explored to obtain the combination that maximized the difference in predicted abundances between the control (untreated) and the different mitigation strategies. Treatment frequency was allowed to vary between one and four times over a given production year. The model was assessed under baseline conditions, which mimicked water temperatures from Georgetown Harbor, PEI, in 2008; as well as under scenarios that reflected prolonged summer or warm spring temperatures. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the model to variations in presumed treatment efficacy was evaluated. The use of all four available treatments, starting around the first week of July and correctly timed thereafter, provided the most effective strategy, assuming the baseline temperature scenario. However, the effectiveness of this mitigation strategy depended on temperature conditions. The mathematical model developed in this study allows decision makers to explore different strategies to control the abundance of C. intestinalis in mussel production areas under different environmental conditions. In addition, the modeling framework developed could be adapted to simulate comparable ectoparasitic infestation in aquatic environments.",
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The application of a mathematical model to evaluate the effectiveness of control strategies against Ciona intestinalis in mussel production. / Patanasatienkul, Thitiwan; Sanchez, Javier; Davidson, Jeff; Revie, Crawford W.

In: Frontiers in Veterinary Science, Vol. 6, 271, 20.08.2019.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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