Abstract
| Language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages | 290-299 |
| Number of pages | 10 |
| Journal | European Journal of Operational Research |
| Volume | 238 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| Early online date | 1 Apr 2014 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Oct 2014 |
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Keywords
- problem structuring
- risk analysis
- group decision making
Cite this
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Systemic risk elicitation : using causal maps to engage stakeholders and build a comprehensive view of risks. / Ackermann, Fran; Howick, Susan; Quigley, John; Walls, Lesley; Houghton, Tom.
In: European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 238, No. 1, 01.10.2014, p. 290-299.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
TY - JOUR
T1 - Systemic risk elicitation
T2 - European Journal of Operational Research
AU - Ackermann, Fran
AU - Howick, Susan
AU - Quigley, John
AU - Walls, Lesley
AU - Houghton, Tom
PY - 2014/10/1
Y1 - 2014/10/1
N2 - As evidenced through both a historical and contemporary number of reported over-runs, managing projects can be a risky business. Managers are faced with the need to effectively work with a multitude of parties and deal with a wealth of interlocking uncertainties. This paper describes a modelling process developed to assist managers facing such situations. The process helps managers to develop a comprehensive appreciation of risks and gain an understanding of the impact of the interactions between these risks through explicitly engaging a wide stakeholder base using a group support system and causal mapping process. Using a real case the paper describes the modelling process and outcomes along with its implications, before reflecting on the insights, limitations and future research.
AB - As evidenced through both a historical and contemporary number of reported over-runs, managing projects can be a risky business. Managers are faced with the need to effectively work with a multitude of parties and deal with a wealth of interlocking uncertainties. This paper describes a modelling process developed to assist managers facing such situations. The process helps managers to develop a comprehensive appreciation of risks and gain an understanding of the impact of the interactions between these risks through explicitly engaging a wide stakeholder base using a group support system and causal mapping process. Using a real case the paper describes the modelling process and outcomes along with its implications, before reflecting on the insights, limitations and future research.
KW - problem structuring
KW - risk analysis
KW - group decision making
U2 - 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.03.035
DO - 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.03.035
M3 - Article
VL - 238
SP - 290
EP - 299
JO - European Journal of Operational Research
JF - European Journal of Operational Research
SN - 0377-2217
IS - 1
ER -