Projects per year
Abstract
Well-known tools developed for satellite and debris re-entry perform break- up and trajectory simulations in a deterministic sense and do not perform any uncertainty treatment. The treatment of uncertainties associated with the re-entry of a space object requires a probabilistic approach. A Monte Carlo campaign is the intuitive approach to performing a probabilistic analysis, however, it is computationally very expensive. In this work, we use a recently developed approach based on a new derivation of the high dimensional model representation method for implementing a computationally efficient probabilistic analysis approach for re-entry. Both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties that affect aerodynamic trajectory and ground impact location are considered. The method is applicable to both controlled and uncontrolled re-entry scenarios. The resulting ground impact distributions are far from the typically used Gaussian or ellipsoid distributions.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 193–211 |
Number of pages | 19 |
Journal | Advances in Space Research |
Volume | 59 |
Issue number | 1 |
Early online date | 1 Sep 2016 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1 Jan 2017 |
Keywords
- space debris
- reentry modelling
- ground impact
- probabilistic distribution
- re-entry
- space situational awareness
- low Earth orbit (LEO)
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Projects
- 2 Finished
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Marie Curie ITN (Stardust)
Vasile, M., Biggs, J., Burns, D., Hopkins, J., Macdonald, M., McInnes, C., Minisci, E. & Maddock, C.
European Commission - FP7 - General
1/02/13 → 31/01/17
Project: Research
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E Infrastructure Bid - Capital Equipment Bid
Littlejohn, D., Fedorov, M., Mulheran, P. & Reese, J.
EPSRC (Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council)
20/01/12 → 31/03/12
Project: Research
Equipment
Research output
- 12 Citations
- 1 Paper
-
FOSTRAD: An advanced open source tool for re-entry analysis
Falchi, A., Renato, V., Minisci, E. & Vasile, M., 30 Oct 2017. 15 p.Research output: Contribution to conference › Paper
Open AccessFile
Activities
- 1 Types of Public engagement and outreach - Media article or participation
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Space Junk: The Odds of Being Hit
Edmondo Minisci (Recipient)
15 May 2018Activity: Public Engagement and Other Activities › Types of Public engagement and outreach - Media article or participation