Projects per year
Well-known tools developed for satellite and debris re-entry perform break- up and trajectory simulations in a deterministic sense and do not perform any uncertainty treatment. The treatment of uncertainties associated with the re-entry of a space object requires a probabilistic approach. A Monte Carlo campaign is the intuitive approach to performing a probabilistic analysis, however, it is computationally very expensive. In this work, we use a recently developed approach based on a new derivation of the high dimensional model representation method for implementing a computationally efficient probabilistic analysis approach for re-entry. Both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties that affect aerodynamic trajectory and ground impact location are considered. The method is applicable to both controlled and uncontrolled re-entry scenarios. The resulting ground impact distributions are far from the typically used Gaussian or ellipsoid distributions.
|Number of pages||19|
|Journal||Advances in Space Research|
|Early online date||1 Sep 2016|
|Publication status||Published - 1 Jan 2017|
- space debris
- reentry modelling
- ground impact
- probabilistic distribution
- space situational awareness
- low Earth orbit (LEO)
FingerprintDive into the research topics of 'Sensitivity analysis and probabilistic re-entry modeling for debris using high dimensional model representation based uncertainty treatment'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.
- 2 Finished
Marie Curie ITN (Stardust)
Vasile, M., Biggs, J., Burns, D., Hopkins, J., Macdonald, M., McInnes, C., Minisci, E. & Maddock, C.
European Commission - FP7 - General
1/02/13 → 31/01/17
E Infrastructure Bid - Capital Equipment Bid
Littlejohn, D., Fedorov, M., Mulheran, P. & Reese, J.
EPSRC (Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council)
20/01/12 → 31/03/12
- 12 Citations
- 1 Paper
FOSTRAD: An advanced open source tool for re-entry analysisFalchi, A., Renato, V., Minisci, E. & Vasile, M., 30 Oct 2017. 15 p.
Research output: Contribution to conference › PaperOpen AccessFile
- 1 Types of Public engagement and outreach - Media article or participation
Space Junk: The Odds of Being Hit
Edmondo Minisci (Recipient)15 May 2018
Activity: Public Engagement and Other Activities › Types of Public engagement and outreach - Media article or participation