Scenario planning: is the 'box' black or clear? It depends

David Frith, Efstathios Tapinos

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)
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This paper responds to a debate concerning the gap in the knowledge of scenario planning literature. We propose a dichotomy in the scenario planning research: i) investigating the activities undertaken within interventions, and ii) studying how these activities lead to the reported outcomes. In our view, there is a plethora of on-going research on the first, but we have sought to address a significant gap in the latter.
Original languageEnglish
Article number120170
Number of pages2
JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
Early online date24 Jun 2020
Publication statusPublished - 30 Sept 2020


  • scenario planning
  • critical realist synthesis
  • foresight


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