Review of Scottish business surveys [November 2012]

Cliff Lockyer, Eleanor Malloy

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A wider sense of despondency was evident amongst business surveys commenting on the third quarter results, with the exception of the oil and gas sector, the emphasis was on a weakening economy, with weak consumer demand, output down in construction, declining export activity and more concerns as to activity over the year ahead. Both the latest Scottish Chambers Business (Q3) and Lloyds TSB Business Monitor survey (Q3 to August) commented on the 'stagnating' Scottish economy. The Bank of Scotland PMI (September data) noted a decline in private sector output, reflecting a declining trend in new work, a reduction in backlogs and accelerating input price inflation due to rising fuel and commodity prices. The CBI data for Q3 similarly noted a decline in both new orders and output. Declining trends in export orders and Eurozone uncertainties were seen as contributing to a decline in orders was reported by Scottish Engineering (Q3).
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)30-34
Number of pages5
JournalFraser of Allander Economic Commentary
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - Nov 2012


  • Scottish economy
  • Scottish business activity

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