Resource-constrained export-base regional multipliers: a northian approach

This paper attempts to rescue the regional export-base growth model from a purely demand-side interpretation. It formally develops the classic Northian approach, where the exploitation of region-specific resources by export-orientated production sectors determines regional growth. In this model, the nature of the regional expansion is shown to be stimulus-specific with the value of the marginal export-base multiplier varying within very wide limits, depending upon key characteristics of the region and the nature of the supply-side shock to the export base.