Abstract
| Language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Renewable energies offshore |
| Subtitle of host publication | Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Renewable Energies Offshore |
| Place of Publication | Boca Raton, FL. |
| Pages | 995-1002 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Publication status | Published - 7 Sep 2015 |
| Event | 1st International Conference on Renewable Energies Offshore (RENEW2014) - Lisbon, Portugal Duration: 24 Nov 2014 → 26 Nov 2014 |
Conference
| Conference | 1st International Conference on Renewable Energies Offshore (RENEW2014) |
|---|---|
| Country | Portugal |
| City | Lisbon |
| Period | 24/11/14 → 26/11/14 |
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Keywords
- offshore wind
- operation and maintenance
- renewable energy
- climate
- Monte Carlo
- wind speed
- wave height
- correlation
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Quantification of the influence of climate on predicted and observed cost of energy for offshore wind. / Dinwoodie, I.; McMillan, D.; Dalgic, Y.; Lazakis, I.; Revie, M.
Renewable energies offshore: Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Renewable Energies Offshore. Boca Raton, FL., 2015. p. 995-1002.Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution book
TY - GEN
T1 - Quantification of the influence of climate on predicted and observed cost of energy for offshore wind
AU - Dinwoodie, I.
AU - McMillan, D.
AU - Dalgic, Y.
AU - Lazakis, I.
AU - Revie, M.
N1 - This is an Accepted Manuscript of a book chapter published by Routledge/CRC Press in Renewable energies offshore: Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Renewable Energies Offshore, on 07/09/2015, available online: https://www.crcpress.com/Renewable-Energies-Offshore/Soares/p/book/9781138028715
PY - 2015/9/7
Y1 - 2015/9/7
N2 - This paper analyses the degree to which lifetime production and availability figures are subject to variation due to inherent inter annual climate variations. This is achieved by performing operational simulations based on different measurement periods chosen from 10 years of historic wind and wave data in the North Sea, establishing the financial implications this has for the industry. The investigation is carried out using a robust Monte Carlo simulation climate and lifetime operational expenditure model. Significant variations are observed with regards to availability, power production and OPEX costs with OPEX costs varying by 15% above and below the average value when a single year is used for the simulation input. It has also been demonstrated that results with similar availability predictions can have divergent power production and OPEX results. This is explained by the correlations between wind speed, wave height, accessibility and power production. The best practice to minimize uncertainty in cost projections from short term measurement campaigns has been identified.
AB - This paper analyses the degree to which lifetime production and availability figures are subject to variation due to inherent inter annual climate variations. This is achieved by performing operational simulations based on different measurement periods chosen from 10 years of historic wind and wave data in the North Sea, establishing the financial implications this has for the industry. The investigation is carried out using a robust Monte Carlo simulation climate and lifetime operational expenditure model. Significant variations are observed with regards to availability, power production and OPEX costs with OPEX costs varying by 15% above and below the average value when a single year is used for the simulation input. It has also been demonstrated that results with similar availability predictions can have divergent power production and OPEX results. This is explained by the correlations between wind speed, wave height, accessibility and power production. The best practice to minimize uncertainty in cost projections from short term measurement campaigns has been identified.
KW - offshore wind
KW - operation and maintenance
KW - renewable energy
KW - climate
KW - Monte Carlo
KW - wind speed
KW - wave height
KW - correlation
UR - http://www.centec.tecnico.ulisboa.pt/renew2014/
UR - https://www.crcpress.com/Renewable-Energies-Offshore/Soares/p/book/9781138028715
M3 - Conference contribution book
SN - 9781138028715
SP - 995
EP - 1002
BT - Renewable energies offshore
CY - Boca Raton, FL.
ER -