Quantification of over-speed risk in wind turbine fleets

David Mcmillan, Graham Ault

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

The effective life management of large and diverse fleets of wind turbines is a new problem facing power system utilities. More specifically, the minimization of over-speed risk is of high importance due to the related impacts of possible loss of life and economic implications of over-speed, such as a loss of containment event. Meeting the goal of risk minimization is complicated by the large range of turbine types present in a
typical fleet. These turbines may have different pitch systems, over-speed detection systems and also different levels of functional redundancy, implying different levels of risk. The purpose of this work is to carry out a quantitative comparison of over-speed risk in different turbine configurations, using a Markov process to model detection of faults and repair actions. In the medium-long term, the risk associated with different assets can used as a decision making aid. For example if the operator is a utility, it may want to avoid purchasing high risk sites in the future, or may need to develop mitigation strategies for turbines at high risk of over speed.
LanguageEnglish
Pages487 - 494
Number of pages8
JournalIEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy
Volume2
Issue number4
Early online date21 Apr 2011
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2011

Fingerprint

Wind turbines
Turbines
Purchasing
Markov processes
Redundancy
Repair
Decision making
Economics

Keywords

  • wind turbine
  • over speed
  • risk
  • Markov Chain

Cite this

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Quantification of over-speed risk in wind turbine fleets. / Mcmillan, David; Ault, Graham.

In: IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy, Vol. 2, No. 4, 10.2011, p. 487 - 494 .

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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