Outlook and appraisal [January 1979]

David N. F. Bell, S. Hart, Frank X. Kirwan, James W. McGilvray, L. Moar, A. J. Morton, David R. F. Simpson, Alison A. Wingfield, Fraser of Allander Institute, David N. F. Bell (Editor)

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    Abstract

    The revival in economic activity in Scotland which occurred in 1978 is unlikely to be maintained during 1979. The fairly limited expansion which did occur in 1978 was largely a response to substantial increases in real disposable income. Between April 1977 and April 1978, average male earnings in Scotland rose from £78.3 to £88.5 per week, a rise of 13.0%. Over the same period, retail prices in the UK rose by only 7.9%, largely in response to the stability of the pound, which in turn reflected the more conservative monetary stance which the government had been forced to adopt. Tax handouts in the April 1978 budget amounting to some £2bn further boosted real disposable incomes. Consequently, retail sales expanded substantially and the average weekly expenditure of Scottish households rose considerably above the 1977 figure of £64.81. This brief paper also considers the influence the European Monetary System (EMS) may exert on the Scottish economy.
    LanguageEnglish
    Pages23-26
    Number of pages4
    JournalQuarterly Economic Commentary
    Volume4
    Issue number3
    Publication statusPublished - Jan 1979

    Fingerprint

    Real income
    Scotland
    European Monetary System
    Expenditure
    Household
    Government
    Economic activity
    Retail
    Retail prices
    Tax

    Keywords

    • Scottish economic forecasts
    • unemployment patterns
    • economic growth
    • European Monetary System
    • EMS
    • wage growth

    Cite this

    Bell, D. N. F., Hart, S., Kirwan, F. X., McGilvray, J. W., Moar, L., Morton, A. J., ... Bell, D. N. F. (Ed.) (1979). Outlook and appraisal [January 1979]. Quarterly Economic Commentary, 4(3), 23-26.
    Bell, David N. F. ; Hart, S. ; Kirwan, Frank X. ; McGilvray, James W. ; Moar, L. ; Morton, A. J. ; Simpson, David R. F. ; Wingfield, Alison A. ; Fraser of Allander Institute ; Bell, David N. F. (Editor). / Outlook and appraisal [January 1979]. In: Quarterly Economic Commentary. 1979 ; Vol. 4, No. 3. pp. 23-26.
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    Bell, DNF, Hart, S, Kirwan, FX, McGilvray, JW, Moar, L, Morton, AJ, Simpson, DRF, Wingfield, AA, Fraser of Allander Institute & Bell, DNF (ed.) 1979, 'Outlook and appraisal [January 1979]' Quarterly Economic Commentary, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 23-26.

    Outlook and appraisal [January 1979]. / Bell, David N. F.; Hart, S.; Kirwan, Frank X.; McGilvray, James W.; Moar, L.; Morton, A. J.; Simpson, David R. F.; Wingfield, Alison A.; Fraser of Allander Institute; Bell, David N. F. (Editor).

    In: Quarterly Economic Commentary, Vol. 4, No. 3, 01.1979, p. 23-26.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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    Bell DNF, Hart S, Kirwan FX, McGilvray JW, Moar L, Morton AJ et al. Outlook and appraisal [January 1979]. Quarterly Economic Commentary. 1979 Jan;4(3):23-26.