On the solution of the Fokker-Planck equation without diffusion for uncertainty propagation in orbital dynamics

Giacomo Acciarini, Cristian Greco, Massimiliano Vasile

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Abstract

This paper presents a method to transform the Fokker-Planck partial differential equation without diffusion into a set of linear ordinary differential equations. This is achieved by first representing the probability density function (pdf) through a summation of time-varying coefficients and spatial basis functions and by then employing Galerkin projection in the Fokker-Planck equation. We show that this method, compared to other numerical techniques, can bring several advantages in the field of uncertainty propagation in orbital dynamics, by not only allowing to retain the entire shape of the pdf through time but also to very rapidly compute the pdf at any time and with any initial condition, once that the spatial support is chosen and several time-independent integrals on the chosen support are computed.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages17
Publication statusPublished - 10 Aug 2020
Event2020 AAS/AIAA Astrodynamics Specialist Conference - Lake Tahoe Resort Hotel, South Lake Tahoe, United States
Duration: 9 Aug 202012 Aug 2020
https://www.space-flight.org/docs/2020_summer/2020_summer.html

Conference

Conference2020 AAS/AIAA Astrodynamics Specialist Conference
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CitySouth Lake Tahoe
Period9/08/2012/08/20
Internet address

Keywords

  • uncertainty propagation
  • uncertainty quantification
  • space debris
  • Fokker-Planck equation
  • orbital dynamics
  • Galerkin projection

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