Projects per year
Abstract
We discuss the effect of introducing telegraph noise, which is an example of an environmental noise, into the susceptible-infectious-recovered-susceptible (SIRS) model by examining the model using a finite-state Markov Chain (MC). First we start with a two-state MC and show that there exists a unique nonnegative solution and establish the conditions for extinction and persistence. We then explain how the results can be generalised to a finite-state MC. The results for the SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Removed) model with Markovian Switching (MS) are a special case. Numerical simulations are produced to confirm our theoretical results.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 684-704 |
Number of pages | 21 |
Journal | Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications |
Volume | 462 |
Early online date | 25 Jun 2016 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 15 Nov 2016 |
Keywords
- Markov Chain
- Lyapunov stability
- environmental noise
- persistence
- extinction
- SIRS epidemic model
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Projects
- 3 Finished
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Numerical Analysis of Stochastic Differential Equations: New Challenges
1/10/15 → 30/09/17
Project: Research Fellowship
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Epsrc Doctoral Training Grant
McFarlane, A.
EPSRC (Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council)
1/10/12 → 30/09/16
Project: Research - Studentship