Modelling the effect of a novel auto-dissemination trap on the spread of dengue in high-rise condominia, Malaysia

David Greenhalgh; Yanfeng Liang; Wasi Ahmad Nazni; Guat-ney Teoh; Han Lim Lee; Eduardo Massad

doi:10.1142/S0218339018500250

Modelling the effect of a novel auto-dissemination trap on the spread of dengue in high-rise condominia, Malaysia

David Greenhalgh, Yanfeng Liang, Wasi Ahmad Nazni, Guat-ney Teoh, Han Lim Lee, Eduardo Massad

Mathematics And Statistics

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Abstract

In this paper, we use the classical Ross-Macdonald model to analyse the effect of the Mosquito Home System (MHS), which is an example of an auto-dissemination trap, in controlling the spread of dengue in Malaysia in a high-rise condominium environment. By using the national dengue data from Malaysia, we are able to estimate which represents the initial growth rate of the dengue epidemic and thus allows us to estimate the number of mosquitoes in Malaysia. The basic reproduction number R0 is also obtained. We have constructed a mathematical expression which allows us to estimate the potential number of breeding sites for Aedes mosquitoes. Later on, by using the data available from the eleven months trials carried out in three blocks of flats in Selangor, we improved on our dengue model by including the effect of the MHS and thus modelling the impact it

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	553-578
Number of pages	26
Journal	Journal of Biological Systems
Volume	26
Issue number	4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218339018500250
Publication status	Published - 20 Dec 2018

Keywords

dengue
auto-dissemination trap
Mosquito Home System
ordinary dier- ential equations
delayed model
aedes aegypti
aedes albopictus
numerical simulations
Malaysia

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10.1142/S0218339018500250Licence: CC BY 4.0

Greenhalgh-etal-JBS-2018-Modelling-the-effect-of-a-novel-auto-dissemination-trap-on-the-spread-of-dengueFinal published version, 1.46 MBLicence: CC BY 4.0

Cite this

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title = "Modelling the effect of a novel auto-dissemination trap on the spread of dengue in high-rise condominia, Malaysia",

abstract = "In this paper, we use the classical Ross-Macdonald model to analyse the effect of the Mosquito Home System (MHS), which is an example of an auto-dissemination trap, in controlling the spread of dengue in Malaysia in a high-rise condominium environment. By using the national dengue data from Malaysia, we are able to estimate which represents the initial growth rate of the dengue epidemic and thus allows us to estimate the number of mosquitoes in Malaysia. The basic reproduction number R0 is also obtained. We have constructed a mathematical expression which allows us to estimate the potential number of breeding sites for Aedes mosquitoes. Later on, by using the data available from the eleven months trials carried out in three blocks of flats in Selangor, we improved on our dengue model by including the effect of the MHS and thus modelling the impact it",

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AU - Lee, Han Lim

AU - Massad, Eduardo

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KW - numerical simulations

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Modelling the effect of a novel auto-dissemination trap on the spread of dengue in high-rise condominia, Malaysia

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