Modeling patient visits to accident and emergency department in Hong Kong

M. Xu, T. C. Wong, K. S. Chin, S. Y. Wong, K. L. Tsui

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Simulation emerges as an important technique in recent years for modeling complex operational dynamics in various healthcare institutions and hence providing deep insights for potential improvement. In particular, Accident and Emergency Department (A&ED) has been a place for such research as it accounts for a large proportion of the total hospital visits and admissions. To create a viable simulation for A&ED, accurate description and forecast of patient visits is the foremost step. This paper investigates several contributing factors to A&ED visits, and various time-series methods of modeling A&ED visits with different triage categories and mode of arrival. All the methods are compared in terms of goodness-of-fit and forecast accuracy. The purpose of this research is two-fold. First, this research is part of attempt to build a simulation model for A&ED of a local hospital. Second, the results may be useful for reexamine the resource allocation plan of the A&ED. 

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2011 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM)
PublisherIEEE
Pages1730-1734
Number of pages5
ISBN (Print)9781457707407
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2011
EventIEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, IEEM2011 - Singapore, United Kingdom
Duration: 6 Dec 20119 Dec 2011

Conference

ConferenceIEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, IEEM2011
CountryUnited Kingdom
CitySingapore
Period6/12/119/12/11

Keywords

  • accident and emergency department
  • forecasting
  • patient visits
  • simulation
  • a&e
  • healthcare
  • hospitals
  • time series

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  • Cite this

    Xu, M., Wong, T. C., Chin, K. S., Wong, S. Y., & Tsui, K. L. (2011). Modeling patient visits to accident and emergency department in Hong Kong. In 2011 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM) (pp. 1730-1734). [6118212] IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/IEEM.2011.6118212