### Abstract

Original language | English |
---|---|

Title of host publication | Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Computational and Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering |

Subtitle of host publication | CMMSE 2017 |

Place of Publication | [S.I.] |

Pages | 1264-1268 |

Number of pages | 5 |

Volume | 4 |

Publication status | Published - 4 Jul 2017 |

### Fingerprint

### Keywords

- zika
- Brazil
- microcephaly
- aedes aegypti mosquito
- basic reproduction number
- differential equation model
- seasonailty

### Cite this

*Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Computational and Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering: CMMSE 2017*(Vol. 4, pp. 1264-1268). [S.I.].

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*Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Computational and Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering: CMMSE 2017.*vol. 4, [S.I.], pp. 1264-1268.

**Mathematical modelling the spread of Zika and Microcephaly in Brazil.** / Liang, Yanfeng; Greenhalgh, David.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution book

TY - GEN

T1 - Mathematical modelling the spread of Zika and Microcephaly in Brazil

AU - Liang, Yanfeng

AU - Greenhalgh, David

PY - 2017/7/4

Y1 - 2017/7/4

N2 - In this paper we look at a non-age-structured model for the spread of the Zika Virus and Microcephaly in Brazil. We first outline the non-seasonal differential equation model, and discuss parameter values and their estimation. Then we talk about the basic reproduction number and details of the calculation of the number of Microcephaly cases. Next we estimate how the model can be made more realistic by introducing seasonality into the mosquito population. Finally we consider sensitivity of the results to the mosquito biting rate.

AB - In this paper we look at a non-age-structured model for the spread of the Zika Virus and Microcephaly in Brazil. We first outline the non-seasonal differential equation model, and discuss parameter values and their estimation. Then we talk about the basic reproduction number and details of the calculation of the number of Microcephaly cases. Next we estimate how the model can be made more realistic by introducing seasonality into the mosquito population. Finally we consider sensitivity of the results to the mosquito biting rate.

KW - zika

KW - Brazil

KW - microcephaly

KW - aedes aegypti mosquito

KW - basic reproduction number

KW - differential equation model

KW - seasonailty

UR - http://cmmse.usal.es/cmmse2017/proceedings-and-instructions-for-authors

M3 - Conference contribution book

SN - 978-84-617-8694-7

VL - 4

SP - 1264

EP - 1268

BT - Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Computational and Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering

CY - [S.I.]

ER -