L’evoluzione e le determinanti dei crediti deteriorati prima e durante la pandemia di Covid-19

Translated title of the contribution: The evolution and determinants of non-performing loans before and during the Covid-19 pandemic

Paolo Agnese, Livia Pancotto

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Abstract

In this paper, we analyse the evolution and exogenous determinants of Non-performing loans (NPLs) in Italy in recent years, including the current pandemic phase. The empirical analysis confirms the countercyclical nature of NPL stocks and the direct relationship between unemployment rate and volumes of impaired assets. An inverse association between public debt and NPL ratio is revealed. In addition, the newly introduced government-backed scheme (GACS) appears to be effective in facilitating the banks' disposal of NPLs. Despite recent positive developments in Italy, including the efforts to clean-up banks' balance sheets, structural changes and improved financial strategies are crucial to prevent a foreseeable reignition of the problem, especially in light of the crisis generated by the Covid-19.
Translated title of the contributionThe evolution and determinants of non-performing loans before and during the Covid-19 pandemic
Original languageItalian
Pages (from-to)55-68
Number of pages14
JournalIl Risparmio
VolumeLXIV
Issue number2/3
Publication statusPublished - 31 Oct 2021

Keywords

  • non performing loans
  • Italian banking system
  • financial stability
  • Covid-19

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