The use of experts' opinions in science and decision making has been a common practice especially after the postwar period of the Second World War. The use of these opinions with methods that allow evaluation and validation on a scientific basis is more recent. This article presents an introduction to the classical model of structured expert judgment. This method has been designed to reach a rational consensus. A brief historical overview is presented. Two main concepts of the method (calibration and information) are discussed. A recent application that makes use of the method is briefly presented.
|Number of pages||10|
|Journal||CIENCIA ergo sum|
|Publication status||Published - 2009|
- structured expert judgment
- decision support
- Calibrated probability assessment