International evidence on the New Keynesian Phillips Curve using aggregate and disaggregate data

Joseph P. Byrne*, Alexandros Kontonikas, Alberto Montagnoli

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We present a unique empirical analysis of the properties of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) using an international data set of aggregate and disaggregate sectoral inflation. Our results from panel time-series estimation clearly indicate that sectoral heterogeneity has important consequences for aggregate inflation behavior. Heterogeneity helps to explain the overestimation of inflation persistence and underestimation of the role of marginal costs in empirical investigations of the NKPC that use aggregate data. We find that combining disaggregate information with heterogeneous-consistent estimation techniques helps to reconcile, to a large extent, the NKPC with the data.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)913-932
Number of pages20
JournalJournal of Money, Credit and Banking
Volume45
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Aug 2013

Keywords

  • aggregation bias
  • heterogeneity
  • New Keynesian Phillips Curve
  • sectoral inflation

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