Identifying disruptive technologies: horizon scanning in the early stages of design

Sidsel Katrine Ernstsen, Christian Thuesen, Laurids Rolighed Larsen, Anja Maier

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

3 Citations (Scopus)
123 Downloads (Pure)


Technology development is accelerating, driving disruption. Design is seen as key differentiator in creating innovative offerings but few design methods consider future technologies explicitly. In this article, we explore how a foresight method, namely horizon scanning, may be applied in a design context to anticipate disruption of construction. By means of a 3-step horizon scan, we identify 133 potentially disruptive technologies from across industries. We find that when preparing for disruption, design may benefit from the future-oriented and technology-focused features of horizon scanning.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationDS 92
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the DESIGN 2018 15th International Design Conference
EditorsD. Marjanović, M. Štorga, S. Škec, N. Bojčetić, N. Pavković
Place of PublicationGlasgow, UK
Number of pages12
Publication statusPublished - 24 May 2018
Event15th International Design Conference (Design 2018) - Hotel Dubrovnik Palace, Dubrovnik, Croatia
Duration: 21 May 201824 May 2018
Conference number: 15


Conference15th International Design Conference (Design 2018)
Abbreviated titleDesign 2018
Internet address


  • disruption
  • horizon scanning
  • technology development
  • design methods
  • digital design


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