Identifying disruptive technologies: horizon scanning in the early stages of design

Sidsel Katrine Ernstsen; Christian Thuesen; Laurids Rolighed Larsen; Anja Maier

doi:10.21278/idc.2018.0105

Identifying disruptive technologies: horizon scanning in the early stages of design

Sidsel Katrine Ernstsen, Christian Thuesen, Laurids Rolighed Larsen, Anja Maier

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution book

4 Citations (Scopus)

133 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Technology development is accelerating, driving disruption. Design is seen as key differentiator in creating innovative offerings but few design methods consider future technologies explicitly. In this article, we explore how a foresight method, namely horizon scanning, may be applied in a design context to anticipate disruption of construction. By means of a 3-step horizon scan, we identify 133 potentially disruptive technologies from across industries. We find that when preparing for disruption, design may benefit from the future-oriented and technology-focused features of horizon scanning.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	DS 92
Subtitle of host publication	Proceedings of the DESIGN 2018 15th International Design Conference
Editors	D. Marjanović, M. Štorga, S. Škec, N. Bojčetić, N. Pavković
Place of Publication	Glasgow, UK
Number of pages	12
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.21278/idc.2018.0105
Publication status	Published - 24 May 2018
Event	15th International Design Conference (Design 2018) - Hotel Dubrovnik Palace, Dubrovnik, Croatia Duration: 21 May 2018 → 24 May 2018 Conference number: 15 http://www.designconference.org/

Conference

Conference	15th International Design Conference (Design 2018)
Abbreviated title	Design 2018
Country/Territory	Croatia
City	Dubrovnik
Period	21/05/18 → 24/05/18
Internet address	http://www.designconference.org/

Keywords

disruption
horizon scanning
technology development
design methods
digital design

Access to Document

10.21278/idc.2018.0105

Ernstsen-etal-Design2018-Identifying-disruptive-technologiesFinal published version, 1.08 MB

Cite this

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title = "Identifying disruptive technologies: horizon scanning in the early stages of design",

abstract = "Technology development is accelerating, driving disruption. Design is seen as key differentiator in creating innovative offerings but few design methods consider future technologies explicitly. In this article, we explore how a foresight method, namely horizon scanning, may be applied in a design context to anticipate disruption of construction. By means of a 3-step horizon scan, we identify 133 potentially disruptive technologies from across industries. We find that when preparing for disruption, design may benefit from the future-oriented and technology-focused features of horizon scanning.",

keywords = "disruption, horizon scanning, technology development, design methods, digital design",

author = "Ernstsen, {Sidsel Katrine} and Christian Thuesen and Larsen, {Laurids Rolighed} and Anja Maier",

year = "2018",

month = may,

day = "24",

doi = "10.21278/idc.2018.0105",

language = "English",

isbn = "9789537738594",

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booktitle = "DS 92",

note = "15th International Design Conference (Design 2018), Design 2018 ; Conference date: 21-05-2018 Through 24-05-2018",

url = "http://www.designconference.org/",

}

Ernstsen, SK, Thuesen, C, Larsen, LR & Maier, A 2018, Identifying disruptive technologies: horizon scanning in the early stages of design. in D Marjanović, M Štorga, S Škec, N Bojčetić & N Pavković (eds), DS 92: Proceedings of the DESIGN 2018 15th International Design Conference. Glasgow, UK, 15th International Design Conference (Design 2018), Dubrovnik, Croatia, 21/05/18. https://doi.org/10.21278/idc.2018.0105

Identifying disruptive technologies: horizon scanning in the early stages of design. / Ernstsen, Sidsel Katrine; Thuesen, Christian; Larsen, Laurids Rolighed et al.
DS 92: Proceedings of the DESIGN 2018 15th International Design Conference. ed. / D. Marjanović; M. Štorga; S. Škec; N. Bojčetić; N. Pavković. Glasgow, UK, 2018.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution book

TY - GEN

T1 - Identifying disruptive technologies

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AU - Thuesen, Christian

AU - Larsen, Laurids Rolighed

AU - Maier, Anja

N1 - Conference code: 15

PY - 2018/5/24

Y1 - 2018/5/24

N2 - Technology development is accelerating, driving disruption. Design is seen as key differentiator in creating innovative offerings but few design methods consider future technologies explicitly. In this article, we explore how a foresight method, namely horizon scanning, may be applied in a design context to anticipate disruption of construction. By means of a 3-step horizon scan, we identify 133 potentially disruptive technologies from across industries. We find that when preparing for disruption, design may benefit from the future-oriented and technology-focused features of horizon scanning.

AB - Technology development is accelerating, driving disruption. Design is seen as key differentiator in creating innovative offerings but few design methods consider future technologies explicitly. In this article, we explore how a foresight method, namely horizon scanning, may be applied in a design context to anticipate disruption of construction. By means of a 3-step horizon scan, we identify 133 potentially disruptive technologies from across industries. We find that when preparing for disruption, design may benefit from the future-oriented and technology-focused features of horizon scanning.

KW - disruption

KW - horizon scanning

KW - technology development

KW - design methods

KW - digital design

U2 - 10.21278/idc.2018.0105

DO - 10.21278/idc.2018.0105

M3 - Conference contribution book

SN - 9789537738594

BT - DS 92

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A2 - Pavković, N.

CY - Glasgow, UK

Y2 - 21 May 2018 through 24 May 2018

ER -

Identifying disruptive technologies: horizon scanning in the early stages of design

Abstract

Conference

Keywords

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