This short note sets out an approach to predicting national football team results using a new, hybrid economics-based methodology. It draws on previous work in the field and was tested on almost 3,000 international football matches over the period 2011- 2013. The same methodology can be used in a predicative way and could be used, for example, to predict the result of the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. A forthcoming article to be published by the Fraser Economic Commentary will seek to predict Scotland’s likely progress in the forthcoming Euro 2016 competition.
|Number of pages||4|
|Journal||Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary|
|Publication status||Published - 18 Jun 2014|
- world cup 2014
- national football teams
- Fraser of Allander
Scelles, N., Andreff, W., & Kane, K. (Ed.) (2014). How to predict the 2014 World Cup winner (in one simple equation): determinants of national football team results 2011-2013 - a new methodology. Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, 38(1), 100-103.