How to predict the 2014 World Cup winner (in one simple equation): determinants of national football team results 2011-2013 - a new methodology

N. Scelles, W. Andreff, Kevin Kane (Editor)

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

This short note sets out an approach to predicting national football team results using a new, hybrid economics-based methodology. It draws on previous work in the field and was tested on almost 3,000 international football matches over the period 2011- 2013. The same methodology can be used in a predicative way and could be used, for example, to predict the result of the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. A forthcoming article to be published by the Fraser Economic Commentary will seek to predict Scotland’s likely progress in the forthcoming Euro 2016 competition.
LanguageEnglish
Pages100-103
Number of pages4
JournalFraser of Allander Economic Commentary
Volume38
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 18 Jun 2014

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Economics
Methodology
Football
Scotland
Brazil

Keywords

  • world cup 2014
  • national football teams
  • Fraser of Allander

Cite this

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How to predict the 2014 World Cup winner (in one simple equation) : determinants of national football team results 2011-2013 - a new methodology. / Scelles, N.; Andreff, W.; Kane, Kevin (Editor).

In: Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, Vol. 38, No. 1, 18.06.2014, p. 100-103.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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