Fighting the Ebola Virus – an exercise in risk analysis & decision making

J. Houston, M. Achayyra

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Abstract

Ebola is a deadly epidemic and has already cost the lives of at least 10,000 people in West Africa. A vaccine has yet to be discovered and the focus remains on containing the spread of the virus. Although its spread has come under control in recent months, the actions of international agencies has been criticized. In this study, we present a choice-problem, associated with the handling of Ebola by Health Policymakers. We combine actual demographic data with realistic cost data for a limited range of interventions intended to slow transmission of the disease, into a quantitative model. The model facilitates trials of many combinations of interventions, in an effort to minimise the further spread of Ebola. The model can be used both as a teaching tool, as well as a prototype decision-making tool for the agencies involved in fighting such outbreaks, with limited budgets.

Conference

ConferenceInternational Conference on Risk Analysis
Abbreviated titleICRA6
CountrySpain
CityBarcelona
Period26/05/1529/05/15
Internet address

Fingerprint

Risk analysis
Decision making
Virus
Exercise
Costs
West Africa
Health
Prototype
Quantitative model
Vaccine
Politicians
Demographics

Keywords

  • risk
  • Ebola
  • constrained optimisation

Cite this

Houston, J., & Achayyra, M. (2015). Fighting the Ebola Virus – an exercise in risk analysis & decision making. Paper presented at International Conference on Risk Analysis, Barcelona, Spain.
Houston, J. ; Achayyra, M. / Fighting the Ebola Virus – an exercise in risk analysis & decision making. Paper presented at International Conference on Risk Analysis, Barcelona, Spain.8 p.
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Houston, J & Achayyra, M 2015, 'Fighting the Ebola Virus – an exercise in risk analysis & decision making' Paper presented at International Conference on Risk Analysis, Barcelona, Spain, 26/05/15 - 29/05/15, .

Fighting the Ebola Virus – an exercise in risk analysis & decision making. / Houston, J.; Achayyra, M.

2015. Paper presented at International Conference on Risk Analysis, Barcelona, Spain.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

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Houston J, Achayyra M. Fighting the Ebola Virus – an exercise in risk analysis & decision making. 2015. Paper presented at International Conference on Risk Analysis, Barcelona, Spain.