Enhancing foresight between multiple agencies: issues in the use of scenario thinking to overcome fragmentation

George Cairns, George Wright, Kees van der Heijden, Ron M. Bradfield, George Burt

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    35 Citations (Scopus)


    We critically compare two illustrative cases where local government and partner organisations sought substantive grounds for collaboration on e-government, by gaining foresight from the application of the scenario methodology. On the basis of our case analyses, we show that inter-organisational fragmentation may be attenuated by the application of scenario method - which acts to enhance inter-organisational foresight. We demonstrate that the scenario method achieves this by promoting a non-adversarial, strategic conversation that can enable new and creative insights to be gained across the participant agencies. However, on the basis of one of the cases, we propose the need for early critical consideration of the influencing role of the project sponsor/leader within such a collaborative network.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)1010-1025
    Number of pages16
    Issue number8
    Publication statusPublished - Oct 2006



    • foresight
    • multiple agencies
    • scenario thinking
    • fragmentation
    • strategic conversation

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