Elicitation, analysis and mitigation of systemic pandemic risks

Jose Gonzalez, Colin Eden, Eirik Abildsnes, Martin Hauge, Monica Trentin, Luca Ragazzoni, Peter Berggren, Carl-Oscar Jonson

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

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Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted the health care system and affected all sectors of society, including critical infrastructures. In turn, the impact on society's infrastructures has impacted back on the health care sector. These
interactions have created a system of associated risks and outcomes, where the outcomes of risks are risks themselves and where the resulting consequences are complex vicious cycles. Traditional risks assessment methods cannot cope with interdependent risks. This paper describes a novel risk systemicity approach to elicit and mitigate the systemic risks of a major pandemic. The approach employed the internet-based software strategyfinder™ in workshops to elicit relevant risk information from sixteen appropriately selected experts from the health care sector and major sectors impacted by and impacting back on the health care sector. The risk information was processed with powerful analytical tools of strategyfinder to allow the experts to prioritise portfolios of strategies attacking the vicious cycles.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication18th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
EditorsAnouck Adrot, Rob Grace, Kathleen Moore, Christopher Zobel
Place of PublicationBlacksburg
Pages581-596
Number of pages16
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 22 Jul 2021
Event18th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management - Virtual
Duration: 23 May 202122 Jul 2021
Conference number: 18
https://www.drrm.fralinlifesci.vt.edu/iscram2021/index.php

Publication series

NameInternational Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
PublisherISCRAM
ISSN (Print)2411-3387

Conference

Conference18th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Abbreviated titleISCRAM 2021
Period23/05/2122/07/21
Internet address

Keywords

  • Systemic risk, cascading effects, vicious cycles, risk system analysis, risk mitigation
  • cascading effects
  • vicious cycles
  • risk system analysis
  • risk mitigation

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