Economic policy uncertainty and cross-border mergers and acquisitions

Krishna Paudyal, Chandra Thapa, Santosh Koirala, Sulaiman Aldhawyan

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We examine the effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on cross-border mergers and acquisitions (CBA). The results suggest that a higher degree of EPU at home retards the number and volume of inbound CBA deals. However, the inverse relationship between EPU and inward CBA is positively moderated by the host country's quality of institution, business environment and political risk. The bilateral acquirer-target country-pair investigation reveals that while higher EPU in the target’s domicile deters inbound CBA, higher EPU in the acquirer's nation is positively associated with higher number and volume of outbound CBA deals. Finally, on the announcement of the deals, targets (acquirers) based in countries with a larger increase in EPU gain less (more) than the targets (acquirers) based in countries with a smaller increase in EPU. These findings imply that countries aiming to attract cross-border investments should strive to mitigate economic policy-related uncertainties.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages65
JournalJournal of Financial Stability
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 2 Feb 2021

Keywords

  • economic policy uncertainty
  • cross-border mergers and acquisitions
  • quality of institutions
  • business environment
  • political risk

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