Dynamic performance evaluation of photovoltaic power plant by stochastic hybrid fault tree automaton model

Ferdinando Chiacchio, Fabio Famoso, Diego D'Urso, Sebastian Brusca, Jose Ignacio Aizpurua, Luca Cedola

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The contribution of renewable energies to the reduction of the impact of fossil fuels sources and especially energy supply in remote areas has occupied a role more and more important during last decades. The estimation of renewable power plants performances by means of deterministic models is usually limited by the innate variability of the energy resources. The accuracy of energy production forecasting results may be inadequate. An accurate feasibility analysis requires taking into account the randomness of the primary resource operations and the effect of component failures in the energy production process. This paper treats a novel approach to the estimation of energy production in a real photovoltaic power plant by means of dynamic reliability analysis based on Stochastic Hybrid Fault Tree Automaton (SHyFTA). The comparison between real data, deterministic model and SHyFTA model confirm how the latter better estimate energy production than deterministic model.
LanguageEnglish
Article number306
Number of pages22
JournalEnergies
Volume11
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 31 Jan 2018

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Power plants
Energy resources
Reliability analysis
Fossil fuels

Keywords

  • renewable energy
  • stochastic hybrid automaton
  • aging
  • photovoltaic power plant
  • Monte Carlo simulation

Cite this

Chiacchio, F., Famoso, F., D'Urso, D., Brusca, S., Aizpurua, J. I., & Cedola, L. (2018). Dynamic performance evaluation of photovoltaic power plant by stochastic hybrid fault tree automaton model. Energies, 11(2), [306]. https://doi.org/10.3390/en11020306
Chiacchio, Ferdinando ; Famoso, Fabio ; D'Urso, Diego ; Brusca, Sebastian ; Aizpurua, Jose Ignacio ; Cedola, Luca. / Dynamic performance evaluation of photovoltaic power plant by stochastic hybrid fault tree automaton model. In: Energies. 2018 ; Vol. 11, No. 2.
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Chiacchio, F, Famoso, F, D'Urso, D, Brusca, S, Aizpurua, JI & Cedola, L 2018, 'Dynamic performance evaluation of photovoltaic power plant by stochastic hybrid fault tree automaton model' Energies, vol. 11, no. 2, 306. https://doi.org/10.3390/en11020306

Dynamic performance evaluation of photovoltaic power plant by stochastic hybrid fault tree automaton model. / Chiacchio, Ferdinando; Famoso, Fabio; D'Urso, Diego; Brusca, Sebastian; Aizpurua, Jose Ignacio; Cedola, Luca.

In: Energies, Vol. 11, No. 2, 306, 31.01.2018.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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