Delphi with feedback of rationales: how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?

Ian Belton; George Wright; Aileen Sissons; Fergus Bolger; Megan Crawford; Iain Hamlin; Courtney Taylor Browne Luka; Alexandrina Vasilichi

Delphi with feedback of rationales: how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?

Ian Belton, George Wright, Aileen Sissons, Fergus Bolger, Megan Crawford, Iain Hamlin, Courtney Taylor Browne Luka, Alexandrina Vasilichi

Management Science

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the effect of Delphi group size and opinion diversity on group members’ information load as well as on their overall experience of the Delphi process - in terms of task involvement (enjoyment and interest) and in terms of group sway (the influence and helpfulness of others’ rationales). For Delphi applications involving the exchange of rationales between participants, we found no evidence that group sizes of up to 19 participants cause information overload or de-motivation and disengagement of participants.

Original language	English
Journal	Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Publication status	Accepted/In press - 17 May 2021

Keywords

Delphi
group size
Delphi process

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https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/technological-forecasting-and-social-change

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Belton-etal-TFSC-2021-Delphi-with-feedback-of-rationales-how-large
Accepted author manuscript, 448 KB
Licence: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
Embargo ends: 17/11/22

Cite this

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title = "Delphi with feedback of rationales: how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?",

abstract = "In this paper, we investigate the effect of Delphi group size and opinion diversity on group members{\textquoteright} information load as well as on their overall experience of the Delphi process - in terms of task involvement (enjoyment and interest) and in terms of group sway (the influence and helpfulness of others{\textquoteright} rationales). For Delphi applications involving the exchange of rationales between participants, we found no evidence that group sizes of up to 19 participants cause information overload or de-motivation and disengagement of participants.",

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author = "Ian Belton and George Wright and Aileen Sissons and Fergus Bolger and Megan Crawford and Iain Hamlin and {Taylor Browne Luka}, Courtney and Alexandrina Vasilichi",

year = "2021",

month = may,

day = "17",

language = "English",

journal = "Technological Forecasting and Social Change",

issn = "0040-1625",

publisher = "Elsevier Inc.",

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Delphi with feedback of rationales : how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged? / Belton, Ian ; Wright, George; Sissons, Aileen; Bolger, Fergus; Crawford, Megan; Hamlin, Iain; Taylor Browne Luka, Courtney; Vasilichi, Alexandrina.

In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 17.05.2021.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - Delphi with feedback of rationales

T2 - how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?

AU - Belton, Ian

AU - Wright, George

AU - Sissons, Aileen

AU - Bolger, Fergus

AU - Crawford, Megan

AU - Hamlin, Iain

AU - Taylor Browne Luka, Courtney

AU - Vasilichi, Alexandrina

PY - 2021/5/17

Y1 - 2021/5/17

N2 - In this paper, we investigate the effect of Delphi group size and opinion diversity on group members’ information load as well as on their overall experience of the Delphi process - in terms of task involvement (enjoyment and interest) and in terms of group sway (the influence and helpfulness of others’ rationales). For Delphi applications involving the exchange of rationales between participants, we found no evidence that group sizes of up to 19 participants cause information overload or de-motivation and disengagement of participants.

AB - In this paper, we investigate the effect of Delphi group size and opinion diversity on group members’ information load as well as on their overall experience of the Delphi process - in terms of task involvement (enjoyment and interest) and in terms of group sway (the influence and helpfulness of others’ rationales). For Delphi applications involving the exchange of rationales between participants, we found no evidence that group sizes of up to 19 participants cause information overload or de-motivation and disengagement of participants.

KW - Delphi

KW - group size

KW - Delphi process

UR - https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/technological-forecasting-and-social-change

M3 - Article

JO - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

SN - 0040-1625

ER -

Delphi with feedback of rationales: how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?

Abstract

Keywords

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