CranSLIK v2.0

improving the stochastic prediction of oil spill transport and fate using approximation methods

R. Rutherford, I. Moulitsas, B. J. Snow, A. J. Kolios, M. De Dominicis

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Oil spill models are used to forecast the transport and fate of oil after it has been released. CranSLIK is a model that predicts the movement and spread of a surface oil spill at sea via a stochastic approach. The aim of this work is to identify parameters that can further improve the forecasting algorithms and expand the functionality of CranSLIK, while maintaining the run-time efficiency of the method. The results from multiple simulations performed using the operational, validated oil spill model, MEDSLIK-II, were analysed using multiple regression in order to identify improvements which could be incorporated into CranSLIK. This has led to a revised model, namely CranSLIK v2.0, which was validated against MEDSLIK-II forecasts for real oil spill cases. The new version of CranSLIK demonstrated significant forecasting improvements by capturing the oil spill accurately in real validation cases and also proved capable of simulating a broader range of oil spill scenarios.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)3365-3377
Number of pages13
JournalGeoscientific Model Development
Volume8
Issue number10
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 26 Oct 2015
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

Oil Spill
Oil spills
oil spill
Approximation Methods
Prediction
prediction
Forecast
Forecasting
Multiple Regression
Model
Expand
multiple regression
method
Predict
Scenarios
oil
Range of data
simulation
Simulation

Keywords

  • oil spill transport
  • stochastic prediction
  • approximation methods

Cite this

Rutherford, R. ; Moulitsas, I. ; Snow, B. J. ; Kolios, A. J. ; De Dominicis, M. / CranSLIK v2.0 : improving the stochastic prediction of oil spill transport and fate using approximation methods. In: Geoscientific Model Development. 2015 ; Vol. 8, No. 10. pp. 3365-3377.
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CranSLIK v2.0 : improving the stochastic prediction of oil spill transport and fate using approximation methods. / Rutherford, R.; Moulitsas, I.; Snow, B. J.; Kolios, A. J.; De Dominicis, M.

In: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 8, No. 10, 26.10.2015, p. 3365-3377.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

TY - JOUR

T1 - CranSLIK v2.0

T2 - improving the stochastic prediction of oil spill transport and fate using approximation methods

AU - Rutherford, R.

AU - Moulitsas, I.

AU - Snow, B. J.

AU - Kolios, A. J.

AU - De Dominicis, M.

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