Ever present jargon and colloquial notion of risk, coupled with obscuring of the simplicity inherent in the concepts of risk by the sophistication of computer software applications of techniques such as event trees, fault trees, Bayesian networks, or others, seem to be major factors inhibiting comprehension and systematic proliferation of the process of safety provision on the bases of risk in routine ship design practice. This paper attempts to stimulate consideration of risk at the fundamental level of mathematical axioms, by proposing a prototype of a comprehensive yet plain model of risk posed by the activity of ship operation. A process of conceptualising of substantive elements of the proposed risk model pertinent to the hazards of collision and flooding is presented. Results of tentative sensitivity studies are presented and discussed.
|Title of host publication||Contemporary Ideas on Ship Stability and Capsizing in Waves|
|Editors||Marcelo Almeida Santos Neves, Vadim L. Belenky, Jean Otto de Kat, Kostas Spyrou, Naoya Umeda|
|Place of Publication||Dordrecht|
|Number of pages||18|
|Publication status||Published - 3 Jul 2011|
|Name||Fluid Mechanics and Its Applications|