Comparisons among the five ground-motion models developed using RESORCE for the prediction of response spectral accelerations due to earthquakes in Europe and the Middle East

John Douglas, Sinan Akkar, Gabriele Ameri, Pierre Yves Bard, Dino Bindi, Julian J. Bommer, Sanjay Singh Bora, Fabrice Cotton, Boumédiène Derras, Marcel Hermkes, Nicolas Martin Kuehn, Lucia Luzi, Marco Massa, Francesca Pacor, Carsten Riggelsen, M. Abdullah Sandikkaya, Frank Scherbaum, Peter J. Stafford, Paola Traversa

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Abstract

This article presents comparisons among the five ground-motion models described in other articles within this special issue, in terms of data selection criteria, characteristics of the models and predicted peak ground and response spectral accelerations. Comparisons are also made with predictions from the Next Generation Attenuation (NGA) models to which the models presented here have similarities (e.g. a common master database has been used) but also differences (e.g. some models in this issue are nonparametric). As a result of the differing data selection criteria and derivation techniques the predicted median ground motions show considerable differences (up to a factor of two for certain scenarios), particularly for magnitudes and distances close to or beyond the range of the available observations. The predicted influence of style-of-faulting shows much variation among models whereas site amplification factors are more similar, with peak amplification at around 1s. These differences are greater than those among predictions from the NGA models. The models for aleatory variability (sigma), however, are similar and suggest that ground-motion variability from this region is slightly higher than that predicted by the NGA models, based primarily on data from California and Taiwan.
LanguageEnglish
Pages 341-358
Number of pages18
JournalBulletin of Earthquake Engineering
Volume12
Issue number1
Early online date29 Sep 2013
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2014

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Middle East
spectral sensitivity
ground motion
Earthquakes
earthquakes
earthquake
prediction
predictions
attenuation
Amplification
amplification
comparison
Europe
Faulting
Taiwan
faulting
derivation

Keywords

  • strong-motion data
  • ground-motion models
  • ground-motion prediction equations
  • style of faulting
  • site amplification
  • aleatory variability
  • epistemic uncertainty
  • Europe
  • Middle East

Cite this

Douglas, John ; Akkar, Sinan ; Ameri, Gabriele ; Bard, Pierre Yves ; Bindi, Dino ; Bommer, Julian J. ; Bora, Sanjay Singh ; Cotton, Fabrice ; Derras, Boumédiène ; Hermkes, Marcel ; Kuehn, Nicolas Martin ; Luzi, Lucia ; Massa, Marco ; Pacor, Francesca ; Riggelsen, Carsten ; Sandikkaya, M. Abdullah ; Scherbaum, Frank ; Stafford, Peter J. ; Traversa, Paola. / Comparisons among the five ground-motion models developed using RESORCE for the prediction of response spectral accelerations due to earthquakes in Europe and the Middle East. In: Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering. 2014 ; Vol. 12, No. 1. pp. 341-358.
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abstract = "This article presents comparisons among the five ground-motion models described in other articles within this special issue, in terms of data selection criteria, characteristics of the models and predicted peak ground and response spectral accelerations. Comparisons are also made with predictions from the Next Generation Attenuation (NGA) models to which the models presented here have similarities (e.g. a common master database has been used) but also differences (e.g. some models in this issue are nonparametric). As a result of the differing data selection criteria and derivation techniques the predicted median ground motions show considerable differences (up to a factor of two for certain scenarios), particularly for magnitudes and distances close to or beyond the range of the available observations. The predicted influence of style-of-faulting shows much variation among models whereas site amplification factors are more similar, with peak amplification at around 1s. These differences are greater than those among predictions from the NGA models. The models for aleatory variability (sigma), however, are similar and suggest that ground-motion variability from this region is slightly higher than that predicted by the NGA models, based primarily on data from California and Taiwan.",
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author = "John Douglas and Sinan Akkar and Gabriele Ameri and Bard, {Pierre Yves} and Dino Bindi and Bommer, {Julian J.} and Bora, {Sanjay Singh} and Fabrice Cotton and Boum{\'e}di{\`e}ne Derras and Marcel Hermkes and Kuehn, {Nicolas Martin} and Lucia Luzi and Marco Massa and Francesca Pacor and Carsten Riggelsen and Sandikkaya, {M. Abdullah} and Frank Scherbaum and Stafford, {Peter J.} and Paola Traversa",
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Douglas, J, Akkar, S, Ameri, G, Bard, PY, Bindi, D, Bommer, JJ, Bora, SS, Cotton, F, Derras, B, Hermkes, M, Kuehn, NM, Luzi, L, Massa, M, Pacor, F, Riggelsen, C, Sandikkaya, MA, Scherbaum, F, Stafford, PJ & Traversa, P 2014, 'Comparisons among the five ground-motion models developed using RESORCE for the prediction of response spectral accelerations due to earthquakes in Europe and the Middle East' Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 341-358. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-013-9522-8

Comparisons among the five ground-motion models developed using RESORCE for the prediction of response spectral accelerations due to earthquakes in Europe and the Middle East. / Douglas, John; Akkar, Sinan; Ameri, Gabriele; Bard, Pierre Yves; Bindi, Dino; Bommer, Julian J.; Bora, Sanjay Singh; Cotton, Fabrice; Derras, Boumédiène; Hermkes, Marcel; Kuehn, Nicolas Martin; Luzi, Lucia; Massa, Marco; Pacor, Francesca; Riggelsen, Carsten; Sandikkaya, M. Abdullah; Scherbaum, Frank; Stafford, Peter J.; Traversa, Paola.

In: Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, Vol. 12, No. 1, 02.2014, p. 341-358.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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AU - Akkar, Sinan

AU - Ameri, Gabriele

AU - Bard, Pierre Yves

AU - Bindi, Dino

AU - Bommer, Julian J.

AU - Bora, Sanjay Singh

AU - Cotton, Fabrice

AU - Derras, Boumédiène

AU - Hermkes, Marcel

AU - Kuehn, Nicolas Martin

AU - Luzi, Lucia

AU - Massa, Marco

AU - Pacor, Francesca

AU - Riggelsen, Carsten

AU - Sandikkaya, M. Abdullah

AU - Scherbaum, Frank

AU - Stafford, Peter J.

AU - Traversa, Paola

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KW - strong-motion data

KW - ground-motion models

KW - ground-motion prediction equations

KW - style of faulting

KW - site amplification

KW - aleatory variability

KW - epistemic uncertainty

KW - Europe

KW - Middle East

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