Comparison of the ranges of uncertainty captured in different seismic-hazard studies

John Douglas, Thomas Ulrich, Didier Bertil, Julien Rey

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

18 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The inclusion of epistemic uncertainties, generally via logic trees (Kulkarni et al., 1984), within probabilistic seismic‐hazard assessments (PSHAs) is becoming standard for all types of studies (commercial, governmental, or research; site specific, national, regional, or global). Consequently many studies publish expected ground motions for a given annual frequency of exceedance (AFE) or return period derived from the hazard curves for the mean, median, and various fractiles (percentiles).
LanguageEnglish
Pages977-985
Number of pages9
JournalSeismological Research Letters
Volume85
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sep 2014

Fingerprint

type of study
return period
hazard assessment
seismic hazard
ground motion
hazards
hazard
logic
inclusions
curves
comparison

Keywords

  • seismic hazards
  • epistemic uncertainty
  • ground motion level

Cite this

Douglas, John ; Ulrich, Thomas ; Bertil, Didier ; Rey, Julien. / Comparison of the ranges of uncertainty captured in different seismic-hazard studies. In: Seismological Research Letters. 2014 ; Vol. 85, No. 5. pp. 977-985.
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Comparison of the ranges of uncertainty captured in different seismic-hazard studies. / Douglas, John; Ulrich, Thomas; Bertil, Didier; Rey, Julien.

In: Seismological Research Letters, Vol. 85, No. 5, 01.09.2014, p. 977-985.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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