Cognitive barriers in the scenario development process

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    38 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    The literature on scenario planning can be neatly divided
    into two broad categories: (a) anecdotal, practitioner oriented articles
    that describe how scenario planning has been undertaken in organizations,
    its espoused benefits, and experienced-based advice on how
    to construct scenarios and (b) articles that are more academic and
    analytical in that they attempt to provide a theoretical underpinning
    for scenarios based on a small body of empirical studies of related
    topics. It is this second category, the empirical studies of related topics
    that this article focuses on, in particular, research findings from the
    cognitive psychology domain in terms of how knowledge is organized
    and activated in the human mind, cognitive simplification processes,
    and inductive versus deductive thinking. A research project focusing
    on the scenario development process is described and the preliminary
    findings related to the impact of these cognitive phenomena in
    terms of learning barriers in the development process is discussed.
    LanguageEnglish
    Pages198-215
    Number of pages18
    JournalAdvances in Developing Human Resources
    Volume10
    Issue number2
    Early online date21 Feb 2008
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2008

    Fingerprint

    Scenarios
    Development process
    Empirical study
    Scenario planning
    Psychology
    Cognitive processes

    Keywords

    • scenario planning
    • cognitive barriers
    • challenges in scenario

    Cite this

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    title = "Cognitive barriers in the scenario development process",
    abstract = "The literature on scenario planning can be neatly dividedinto two broad categories: (a) anecdotal, practitioner oriented articlesthat describe how scenario planning has been undertaken in organizations,its espoused benefits, and experienced-based advice on howto construct scenarios and (b) articles that are more academic andanalytical in that they attempt to provide a theoretical underpinningfor scenarios based on a small body of empirical studies of relatedtopics. It is this second category, the empirical studies of related topicsthat this article focuses on, in particular, research findings from thecognitive psychology domain in terms of how knowledge is organizedand activated in the human mind, cognitive simplification processes,and inductive versus deductive thinking. A research project focusingon the scenario development process is described and the preliminaryfindings related to the impact of these cognitive phenomena interms of learning barriers in the development process is discussed.",
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    author = "Ronald Bradfield",
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    Cognitive barriers in the scenario development process. / Bradfield, Ronald.

    In: Advances in Developing Human Resources, Vol. 10, No. 2, 2008, p. 198-215.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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