Cognitive barriers in the scenario development process

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    47 Citations (Scopus)


    The literature on scenario planning can be neatly divided
    into two broad categories: (a) anecdotal, practitioner oriented articles
    that describe how scenario planning has been undertaken in organizations,
    its espoused benefits, and experienced-based advice on how
    to construct scenarios and (b) articles that are more academic and
    analytical in that they attempt to provide a theoretical underpinning
    for scenarios based on a small body of empirical studies of related
    topics. It is this second category, the empirical studies of related topics
    that this article focuses on, in particular, research findings from the
    cognitive psychology domain in terms of how knowledge is organized
    and activated in the human mind, cognitive simplification processes,
    and inductive versus deductive thinking. A research project focusing
    on the scenario development process is described and the preliminary
    findings related to the impact of these cognitive phenomena in
    terms of learning barriers in the development process is discussed.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)198-215
    Number of pages18
    JournalAdvances in Developing Human Resources
    Issue number2
    Early online date21 Feb 2008
    Publication statusPublished - 2008


    • scenario planning
    • cognitive barriers
    • challenges in scenario


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