Cancer mortality trends in the EU and acceding countries up to 2015

M.J. Quinn, A. d'Onofrio, B. Moller, R. Black, C. Martinez-Garcia, H. Moller, M. Rahu, C. Robertson, L.J. Schouten, C. La Vecchia, P. Boyle

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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Abstract

Examination of trends in cancer mortality in Europe over the past 30 years has shown that, after long-term rises, age-standardised mortality from most common cancer sites has fallen in the EU since the late 1980s. This study aimed to examine trends in the age-specific and age-standardised cancer mortality rates and numbers of cancer deaths up to 2020 for all cancers and various specific sites for all 15 EU countries, the 10 acceding countries, Bulgaria and Romania (currently applicant countries, along with Turkey), and Iceland, Norway and Switzerland of the four EEA countries. As a consequence of the generally decreasing trends in the age-standardised rates, the best estimate is that there will be ~1.25 million cancer deaths in 2015, which is almost 130 000 (11%) more deaths than in 2000, but 155 000 (11%) fewer deaths than the 1.4 million projected in 2015 on the basis of demographic changes alone. The increases in the forecast numbers of cancer deaths in 2015 are proportionally larger in males than in females (13% and 10%, respectively) and proportionally larger in the acceding countries than in the current EU member countries (14% and 11%, respectively). Our forecasts are conservative best estimates of future cancer mortality. There is clearly scope for large improvements in survival, and hence reductions in cancer mortality, in some countries, through eliminating these differences using existing knowledge and treatment regimes.
LanguageEnglish
Pages1148-1152
Number of pages4
JournalAnnals of Oncology
Volume14
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2003

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Mortality
Neoplasms
Iceland
Bulgaria
Romania
Norway
Turkey
Switzerland
Demography

Keywords

  • cancer
  • europe
  • mortality
  • statistics

Cite this

Quinn, M. J., d'Onofrio, A., Moller, B., Black, R., Martinez-Garcia, C., Moller, H., ... Boyle, P. (2003). Cancer mortality trends in the EU and acceding countries up to 2015. Annals of Oncology, 14, 1148-1152. https://doi.org/10.1093/annonc/mdg307
Quinn, M.J. ; d'Onofrio, A. ; Moller, B. ; Black, R. ; Martinez-Garcia, C. ; Moller, H. ; Rahu, M. ; Robertson, C. ; Schouten, L.J. ; La Vecchia, C. ; Boyle, P. / Cancer mortality trends in the EU and acceding countries up to 2015. In: Annals of Oncology. 2003 ; Vol. 14. pp. 1148-1152.
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abstract = "Examination of trends in cancer mortality in Europe over the past 30 years has shown that, after long-term rises, age-standardised mortality from most common cancer sites has fallen in the EU since the late 1980s. This study aimed to examine trends in the age-specific and age-standardised cancer mortality rates and numbers of cancer deaths up to 2020 for all cancers and various specific sites for all 15 EU countries, the 10 acceding countries, Bulgaria and Romania (currently applicant countries, along with Turkey), and Iceland, Norway and Switzerland of the four EEA countries. As a consequence of the generally decreasing trends in the age-standardised rates, the best estimate is that there will be ~1.25 million cancer deaths in 2015, which is almost 130 000 (11{\%}) more deaths than in 2000, but 155 000 (11{\%}) fewer deaths than the 1.4 million projected in 2015 on the basis of demographic changes alone. The increases in the forecast numbers of cancer deaths in 2015 are proportionally larger in males than in females (13{\%} and 10{\%}, respectively) and proportionally larger in the acceding countries than in the current EU member countries (14{\%} and 11{\%}, respectively). Our forecasts are conservative best estimates of future cancer mortality. There is clearly scope for large improvements in survival, and hence reductions in cancer mortality, in some countries, through eliminating these differences using existing knowledge and treatment regimes.",
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Quinn, MJ, d'Onofrio, A, Moller, B, Black, R, Martinez-Garcia, C, Moller, H, Rahu, M, Robertson, C, Schouten, LJ, La Vecchia, C & Boyle, P 2003, 'Cancer mortality trends in the EU and acceding countries up to 2015' Annals of Oncology, vol. 14, pp. 1148-1152. https://doi.org/10.1093/annonc/mdg307

Cancer mortality trends in the EU and acceding countries up to 2015. / Quinn, M.J.; d'Onofrio, A.; Moller, B.; Black, R.; Martinez-Garcia, C.; Moller, H.; Rahu, M.; Robertson, C.; Schouten, L.J.; La Vecchia, C.; Boyle, P.

In: Annals of Oncology, Vol. 14, 2003, p. 1148-1152.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

TY - JOUR

T1 - Cancer mortality trends in the EU and acceding countries up to 2015

AU - Quinn, M.J.

AU - d'Onofrio, A.

AU - Moller, B.

AU - Black, R.

AU - Martinez-Garcia, C.

AU - Moller, H.

AU - Rahu, M.

AU - Robertson, C.

AU - Schouten, L.J.

AU - La Vecchia, C.

AU - Boyle, P.

PY - 2003

Y1 - 2003

N2 - Examination of trends in cancer mortality in Europe over the past 30 years has shown that, after long-term rises, age-standardised mortality from most common cancer sites has fallen in the EU since the late 1980s. This study aimed to examine trends in the age-specific and age-standardised cancer mortality rates and numbers of cancer deaths up to 2020 for all cancers and various specific sites for all 15 EU countries, the 10 acceding countries, Bulgaria and Romania (currently applicant countries, along with Turkey), and Iceland, Norway and Switzerland of the four EEA countries. As a consequence of the generally decreasing trends in the age-standardised rates, the best estimate is that there will be ~1.25 million cancer deaths in 2015, which is almost 130 000 (11%) more deaths than in 2000, but 155 000 (11%) fewer deaths than the 1.4 million projected in 2015 on the basis of demographic changes alone. The increases in the forecast numbers of cancer deaths in 2015 are proportionally larger in males than in females (13% and 10%, respectively) and proportionally larger in the acceding countries than in the current EU member countries (14% and 11%, respectively). Our forecasts are conservative best estimates of future cancer mortality. There is clearly scope for large improvements in survival, and hence reductions in cancer mortality, in some countries, through eliminating these differences using existing knowledge and treatment regimes.

AB - Examination of trends in cancer mortality in Europe over the past 30 years has shown that, after long-term rises, age-standardised mortality from most common cancer sites has fallen in the EU since the late 1980s. This study aimed to examine trends in the age-specific and age-standardised cancer mortality rates and numbers of cancer deaths up to 2020 for all cancers and various specific sites for all 15 EU countries, the 10 acceding countries, Bulgaria and Romania (currently applicant countries, along with Turkey), and Iceland, Norway and Switzerland of the four EEA countries. As a consequence of the generally decreasing trends in the age-standardised rates, the best estimate is that there will be ~1.25 million cancer deaths in 2015, which is almost 130 000 (11%) more deaths than in 2000, but 155 000 (11%) fewer deaths than the 1.4 million projected in 2015 on the basis of demographic changes alone. The increases in the forecast numbers of cancer deaths in 2015 are proportionally larger in males than in females (13% and 10%, respectively) and proportionally larger in the acceding countries than in the current EU member countries (14% and 11%, respectively). Our forecasts are conservative best estimates of future cancer mortality. There is clearly scope for large improvements in survival, and hence reductions in cancer mortality, in some countries, through eliminating these differences using existing knowledge and treatment regimes.

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KW - europe

KW - mortality

KW - statistics

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DO - 10.1093/annonc/mdg307

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SP - 1148

EP - 1152

JO - Annals of Oncology

T2 - Annals of Oncology

JF - Annals of Oncology

SN - 1569-8041

ER -

Quinn MJ, d'Onofrio A, Moller B, Black R, Martinez-Garcia C, Moller H et al. Cancer mortality trends in the EU and acceding countries up to 2015. Annals of Oncology. 2003;14:1148-1152. https://doi.org/10.1093/annonc/mdg307