A review of reliability-based methods for risk analysis and their application in the offshore wind industry

Mareike Leimeister, Athanasios Kolios

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Offshore and marine renewable energy applications are governed by a number of uncertainties relevant to the design process and operational management of assets. Risk and reliability analysis methods can allow for systematic assessment of these uncertainties, supporting decisions integrating associated consequences in case of unexpected events. This paper focuses on the review and classification of such methods applied specifically within the offshore wind industry. The quite broad differentiation between qualitative and quantitative methods, as well as some which could belong to both groups depending on the way in which they are used, is further differentiated, based on the most commonly applied theories. Besides the traditional qualitative failure mode, tree, diagrammatic, and hazard analyses, more sophisticated and novel techniques, such as correlation failure mode analysis, threat matrix, or dynamic fault tree analysis, are coming to the fore. Similarly, the well-practised quantitative approaches of an analytical nature, such as the concept of limit states and first or second order reliability methods, and of a stochastic nature, such as Monte Carlo simulation, response surface, or importance sampling methods, are still common practice. Further, Bayesian approaches, reliability-based design optimisation tools, multivariate analyses, fuzzy set theory, and data pooling strategies are finding more and more use within the reliability assessment of offshore and marine renewable energy assets.

LanguageEnglish
Pages1065-1076
Number of pages12
JournalRenewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
Volume91
Early online date1 Jun 2018
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 31 Aug 2018

Fingerprint

Risk analysis
Failure modes
Fault tree analysis
Industry
Importance sampling
Fuzzy set theory
Reliability analysis
Hazards
Uncertainty

Keywords

  • offshore wind turbine
  • qualitative method
  • quantitative method
  • reliability
  • risk analysis

Cite this

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A review of reliability-based methods for risk analysis and their application in the offshore wind industry. / Leimeister, Mareike; Kolios, Athanasios.

In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 91, 31.08.2018, p. 1065-1076.

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

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