A quantitative risk assessment for the importation of brucellosis-infected breeding cattle into Great Britain from selected European countries

R.D. Jones, Louise Anne Kelly, T. England, A. MacMillan, M.. Wooldridge

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

12 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Great Britain (GB) has been “Officially Brucellosis Free” (OBF) since 1991; because this disease has both public-health and international-trade implications, it is in the country’s interest to maintain this freedom. A quantitative risk-assessment model was developed to determine the annual risk of importing brucellosis-infected breeding cattle into GB from Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. (These countries exported the largest number of cattle into GB and were not brucellosis free during the development of the assessment in 2000.) We predicted that we can expect to import brucellosis from Northern Ireland every 2.63 years (1.89, 4.17) and from the Republic of Ireland, every 3.23 years (2.13, 5.88). The estimates of risk are sensitive to the assumed proportion of animals missed during routine surveillance that originate from OBF herds and the uncertainty associated with the surveillance test sensitivities. As a result of the assessment, the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) introduced post-calving testing for all cattle imported into British herds.

LanguageEnglish
Pages51-61
Number of pages11
JournalPreventive Veterinary Medicine
Volume63
Issue number1-2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 30 Apr 2004

Fingerprint

quantitative risk assessment
cattle breeding
Brucellosis
brucellosis
Breeding
Northern Ireland
Ireland
herds
risk estimate
monitoring
cattle
international trade
imports
Uncertainty
calving
public health
uncertainty
Public Health
testing
United Kingdom

Keywords

  • brucella abortus
  • risk assessment
  • importation
  • cattle

Cite this

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A quantitative risk assessment for the importation of brucellosis-infected breeding cattle into Great Britain from selected European countries. / Jones, R.D.; Kelly, Louise Anne; England, T.; MacMillan, A.; Wooldridge, M..

In: Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol. 63, No. 1-2, 30.04.2004, p. 51-61.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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