A length-structured partial ecosystem model for cod in the North Sea

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

35 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In this paper we present a general modelling approach for coupled length-structured fish populations. The model includes a target set of fish species which are modelled with full length structure from egg to adult, together with a highly simplified size-spectrum representation of the rest of the ecosystem (zooplankton, benthos and other fish). For the structured fish species the food requirements for growth, maintenance and reproduction, together with a length-based prey preferences, are used to calculate predation mortalities on the prey. Model output can be assessed against a wide variety of independent observations. As an example we develop a model for cod (Gadus morhua) and nine of its most important fish predators and prey in the North Sea. The model is confronted with time series of stock biomass, recruitment, and landings, as well as survey data on length distributions, and diet data. The results suggest that herring (Clupea harengus) predation on early life history stages of cod is dynamically important, and that high herring abundance may play a role in the decline of stocks even during periods of declining fishing pressure. We show that the maximum sustainable yield of cod is strongly dependent on herring abundance, and that current levels of cod exploitation may become unsustainable if herring recruitment returns to historical high levels.

LanguageEnglish
Pages474-494
Number of pages21
JournalFisheries Research
Volume106
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2010

Fingerprint

cod (fish)
North Sea
herring
ecosystems
ecosystem
fish
predation
fish roe
prey preference
maximum sustainable yield
Clupea harengus
Gadus morhua
benthic organisms
benthos
time series analysis
zooplankton
fishing
life history
sea
predator

Keywords

  • multispecies model
  • ecosystem-based fisheries management
  • Gadus morhua
  • population dynamics
  • size-structured populations

Cite this

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title = "A length-structured partial ecosystem model for cod in the North Sea",
abstract = "In this paper we present a general modelling approach for coupled length-structured fish populations. The model includes a target set of fish species which are modelled with full length structure from egg to adult, together with a highly simplified size-spectrum representation of the rest of the ecosystem (zooplankton, benthos and other fish). For the structured fish species the food requirements for growth, maintenance and reproduction, together with a length-based prey preferences, are used to calculate predation mortalities on the prey. Model output can be assessed against a wide variety of independent observations. As an example we develop a model for cod (Gadus morhua) and nine of its most important fish predators and prey in the North Sea. The model is confronted with time series of stock biomass, recruitment, and landings, as well as survey data on length distributions, and diet data. The results suggest that herring (Clupea harengus) predation on early life history stages of cod is dynamically important, and that high herring abundance may play a role in the decline of stocks even during periods of declining fishing pressure. We show that the maximum sustainable yield of cod is strongly dependent on herring abundance, and that current levels of cod exploitation may become unsustainable if herring recruitment returns to historical high levels.",
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A length-structured partial ecosystem model for cod in the North Sea. / Speirs, Douglas; Guirey, E.J.; Gurney, William; Heath, Michael.

In: Fisheries Research, Vol. 106, No. 3, 12.2010, p. 474-494.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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AB - In this paper we present a general modelling approach for coupled length-structured fish populations. The model includes a target set of fish species which are modelled with full length structure from egg to adult, together with a highly simplified size-spectrum representation of the rest of the ecosystem (zooplankton, benthos and other fish). For the structured fish species the food requirements for growth, maintenance and reproduction, together with a length-based prey preferences, are used to calculate predation mortalities on the prey. Model output can be assessed against a wide variety of independent observations. As an example we develop a model for cod (Gadus morhua) and nine of its most important fish predators and prey in the North Sea. The model is confronted with time series of stock biomass, recruitment, and landings, as well as survey data on length distributions, and diet data. The results suggest that herring (Clupea harengus) predation on early life history stages of cod is dynamically important, and that high herring abundance may play a role in the decline of stocks even during periods of declining fishing pressure. We show that the maximum sustainable yield of cod is strongly dependent on herring abundance, and that current levels of cod exploitation may become unsustainable if herring recruitment returns to historical high levels.

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