A comprehensive scenario intervention typology

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Scenario planning, as a recognised organisational intervention, has steadily grown in popularity since the mid-20th century. To date, there are arguably as many methods and techniques as there are practitioners, with applications across nearly all sectors of public and private industry. Many feel that scenario planning is forever consigned to the realm of chaos, incapable of being clearly defined. We disagree and see the field as a collective of experiences and knowledge that play upon a theme, where emerging realities slowly reveal a structure to the system. In response, we propose a comprehensive typology for scenario planning interventions – the Comprehensive Scenario Intervention typology – which incorporates all dimensions of existing typologies along with additional dimensions and functions that reflect previously unrecognized and emergent topics relevant to understanding the critical realities of an intervention. The Comprehensive Scenario Intervention typology expands the scope of scenario planning interventions and adds to the theoretical foundation of the field.
LanguageEnglish
Article number119748
Number of pages27
JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
Volume149
Early online date31 Oct 2019
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 31 Oct 2019

Fingerprint

Private Sector
Public Sector
Industry
Planning
Chaos theory
Scenarios
Scenario planning

Keywords

  • scenario planning
  • typology
  • intervention
  • profile

Cite this

@article{6aaf8df47d1c4d9cb06fb80b003b2b7f,
title = "A comprehensive scenario intervention typology",
abstract = "Scenario planning, as a recognised organisational intervention, has steadily grown in popularity since the mid-20th century. To date, there are arguably as many methods and techniques as there are practitioners, with applications across nearly all sectors of public and private industry. Many feel that scenario planning is forever consigned to the realm of chaos, incapable of being clearly defined. We disagree and see the field as a collective of experiences and knowledge that play upon a theme, where emerging realities slowly reveal a structure to the system. In response, we propose a comprehensive typology for scenario planning interventions – the Comprehensive Scenario Intervention typology – which incorporates all dimensions of existing typologies along with additional dimensions and functions that reflect previously unrecognized and emergent topics relevant to understanding the critical realities of an intervention. The Comprehensive Scenario Intervention typology expands the scope of scenario planning interventions and adds to the theoretical foundation of the field.",
keywords = "scenario planning, typology, intervention, profile",
author = "Crawford, {Megan M.}",
year = "2019",
month = "10",
day = "31",
doi = "10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119748",
language = "English",
volume = "149",
journal = "Technological Forecasting and Social Change",
issn = "0040-1625",

}

A comprehensive scenario intervention typology. / Crawford, Megan M.

In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 149, 119748, 31.12.2019.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

TY - JOUR

T1 - A comprehensive scenario intervention typology

AU - Crawford, Megan M.

PY - 2019/10/31

Y1 - 2019/10/31

N2 - Scenario planning, as a recognised organisational intervention, has steadily grown in popularity since the mid-20th century. To date, there are arguably as many methods and techniques as there are practitioners, with applications across nearly all sectors of public and private industry. Many feel that scenario planning is forever consigned to the realm of chaos, incapable of being clearly defined. We disagree and see the field as a collective of experiences and knowledge that play upon a theme, where emerging realities slowly reveal a structure to the system. In response, we propose a comprehensive typology for scenario planning interventions – the Comprehensive Scenario Intervention typology – which incorporates all dimensions of existing typologies along with additional dimensions and functions that reflect previously unrecognized and emergent topics relevant to understanding the critical realities of an intervention. The Comprehensive Scenario Intervention typology expands the scope of scenario planning interventions and adds to the theoretical foundation of the field.

AB - Scenario planning, as a recognised organisational intervention, has steadily grown in popularity since the mid-20th century. To date, there are arguably as many methods and techniques as there are practitioners, with applications across nearly all sectors of public and private industry. Many feel that scenario planning is forever consigned to the realm of chaos, incapable of being clearly defined. We disagree and see the field as a collective of experiences and knowledge that play upon a theme, where emerging realities slowly reveal a structure to the system. In response, we propose a comprehensive typology for scenario planning interventions – the Comprehensive Scenario Intervention typology – which incorporates all dimensions of existing typologies along with additional dimensions and functions that reflect previously unrecognized and emergent topics relevant to understanding the critical realities of an intervention. The Comprehensive Scenario Intervention typology expands the scope of scenario planning interventions and adds to the theoretical foundation of the field.

KW - scenario planning

KW - typology

KW - intervention

KW - profile

U2 - 10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119748

DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119748

M3 - Article

VL - 149

JO - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

T2 - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

SN - 0040-1625

M1 - 119748

ER -