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A Bayesian network approach for the quantitative assessment of resilience of critical systems

T.V. Santhosh, Edoardo Patelli

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution book

Abstract

The major accidents in industry, and failures of critical infrastructure have triggered an absolute need for new and efficient approaches in risk assessment and safety management. Resilience engineering has attracted widespread interest as it presents a whole new approach to measuring and maintaining the safety of critical systems. In this paper, an integrated framework is proposed for resilience assessment of critical systems under various threat scenarios using Bayesian network. This new approach addresses all the factors associated with resilience principles together with the dynamic interactions of a system during threats. Quantitative resilience metrics are proposed to provide new insights on the importance of different factors within the resilience framework and optimise the mitigation and recovery phases. The approach is applied to assess the resilience of safety system of a nuclear reactor.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and the 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference
EditorsPiero Baraldi, Francesco Di Maio, Enrico Zio
Place of PublicationSingapore
Pages1444-1451
Number of pages8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 5 Nov 2020
Event30th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2020 and 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, PSAM15 2020 - Venice, Italy
Duration: 1 Nov 20205 Nov 2020

Conference

Conference30th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2020 and 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference, PSAM15 2020
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityVenice
Period1/11/205/11/20

Funding

This work has been supported by the UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) with the project entitled “A Resilience Modelling Framework for Improved Nuclear Safety (NuRes)”, Grant No. EP/R020588/2.

Keywords

  • Bayesian networks
  • critical infrastructure
  • human and organizational factors
  • resilience
  • safety

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