20142019

Research output per year

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Personal profile

Personal Statement

My background is in psychology, philosophy, and economics. As a PhD researcher in the department of Management Science (fka Strategy and Organisation), I am applying cognitive psychological paradigms to investigate the intuitive logics of scenario planning and futures-thinking. In particular, I am interested in mapping where heuristic thinking is employed, and how the resulting biases affect the process. As well, I am investigating whether the scenario has countering effects on biased thinking.

Along with my research, I am regularly involved with scenario workshops with George Wright and Ron Bradfield. Outside of academia, I lead scenario interventions in conjunction with structured analytic techniques to help Scottish Parliamentary divisions explore community-based policies. Like many, I am often involved in side projects and studies. I am quite interested in finding applications of scenario and related behavioural economic techniques to advance human rights policies and improve community standards.

Education/Academic qualification

Master in Science, University of Warwick

1 Sep 201330 Sep 2014

Bachelor of Philosophy, Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi

1 Sep 201030 May 2012

Bachelor of Arts, Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi

1 Sep 20091 May 2012

External positions

Consulting member, Equality and Human Rights Advisory Group for Audit Scotland

7 Oct 2016 → …

Keywords

  • decision making
  • decision science
  • scenario planning
  • scenario thinking
  • cognitive heuristics
  • biases
  • Forecasting

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Projects

BARD: Bayesian ARgumentation via Delphi

Belton, I., Bolger, F., Crawford, M. M., Hamlin, I., MacDonald, A., Rowe, G., Sissons, A., Taylor Browne Lūka, C., Vasilichi, A. & Wright, G.

1/04/1730/11/18

Project: Research

Business Models for 3D Printing: Scenario Planning Workshop

Crawford, M. M. & D'Adderio, L.

29/03/1729/03/17

Project: Internally funded project

Research Output

  • 2 Article
  • 1 Chapter
  • 1 Chapter (peer-reviewed)

A comprehensive scenario intervention typology

Crawford, M. M., 31 Dec 2019, In : Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 149, 27 p., 119748.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  • 3 Citations (Scopus)

    Behavioural issues in the practical application of scenario thinking: cognitive biases, effective group facilitation, and overcoming business-as-usual thinking

    Bryson, S., Grime, M. M., Murthy, A. & Wright, G., 29 Jun 2016, Behavioural Operational Research: Theory, Methodology and Practice. Kunc, M., Malpass, J. & White, L. (eds.). London

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

    Open Access
    File
  • 20 Downloads (Pure)

    Activities

    • 1 Participation in conference
    • 1 Participation in workshop, seminar, course
    • 1 Consultancy

    Risk & Uncertainty Conference

    Megan Michelle Grime (Participant)
    12 Jun 201814 Jun 2018

    Activity: Participating in or organising an event typesParticipation in conference

    Equality and Human Rights Advisory Group

    Megan Michelle Grime (Consultant)
    Oct 2016

    Activity: Consultancy typesConsultancy